why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
What-if
Zuckerberg: Better internal expertise might have avoided buying Oculus
“When I look at things like, you know, we bought you know, the Oculus team for a lot of money, right? I actually view that as you know, if we'd done a better job of building up some of the expertise to do some of that stuff internally, then, you know, maybe we …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: VR and AR will be the next major computing platform
“There's going to be another platform after that. And I think that's going to be a virtual reality and augmented reality.”
Opinion
Zuckerberg: Deciding to start a company before choosing a problem is backwards
“You know, I always think that this is kind of a perverse thing about Silicon Valley in a way, which is that, you know, people decide often that they want to start a company before they even decide what they want to do. And that just feels really backwards to m…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: Facebook Runs Tens of Thousands of Live Product Variations Simultaneously
“At any given point in time, there aren't, there's not just one version of Facebook running in the world, right? There's probably tens of thousands of versions running because engineers here have the power to try out an idea and ship it to, you know, maybe 10,0…”
Insight
Zuckerberg: Well-run companies should not need to make big crazy bets
“So I actually think when you do stuff well, you don't, you shouldn't have to do big crazy things, right? So you want to actually evolve in a way where you're working with your community and making steps and learning.”
Insight
Zuckerberg: Social understanding required expression tools, not search indexing
“All that other content was just out there able to be indexed by, you know, search engines and other services, but in, in order to understand what's going on with people, you needed to build tools that made it so that they could express what was going on with t…”
Assertion Contradicted
Zuckerberg: Entire Facebook management team left within a year of rejecting Yahoo offer
“The whole management team was gone within within about a year after that.”
Insight
Zuckerberg: 5-to-10-year corporate bets are harder than early buyout decisions
“Sometimes you have to bet on something and, you know, either, you know, bet the direction of the company or, you know, bet billions of dollars on something, and it's not going to be clear whether you're right for five or 10 years. And, you know, that, that I t…”
Insight
Zuckerberg: Any company can replicate Facebook's growth group with data infrastructure
“There's no magic In the growth group that we that we built that other people can't replicate, you know, it's just being very rigorous with data, investing in data infrastructure, so that way you can process all these different experiments and learn what people…”
Assertion Supported
Zuckerberg: Facebook's IPO CFO had never taken a company public before
“The CFO who took the company public had not taken a company public before, right? And a lot of his background was in you know, production development at Genentech before.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zuckerberg: 11 of 12 Facebook product leaders were promoted internally
“We have about 12 different product groups at the company. And all of the people who are running them with the exception of one did not join the company running a product group or reporting to me.”
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Built roughly 10 projects at Harvard before Facebook
“There were probably, you know, 10 other things like that that I built when I was at Harvard before I actually got around to building the first version of Facebook that kind of added a lot of these things together.”
Disclosure
Zuckerberg: Facebook told Peter Thiel they planned to return to Harvard
“When we were first talking to Peter about raising money, Dustin and I were very clear with him that we were planning on going back to school, right?”