why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Ries: Philip Morris generates $600B in annual US external costs
“They have something like eight billion dollars a year in net income. But there's been all these studies. They create six hundred billion dollars a year in costs just in the U.S. That have to be borne by others. I think it's three hundred billion in direct heal…”
Assertion Supported
Ries: Shareholder primacy was never enacted by statutory law or referendum
“In the history of the world. Shareholder primacy has never been subject to any referendum, any legislative action, nothing. So it's weird. If you learned in school, how a bill becomes a law, There's no law for shareholder primacy.”
Assertion Partly supported
Ries: Foundation-owned companies are 6x more likely to reach year 50
“Companies with this structure are six times more likely to live to year 50. 10% versus 60% probability.”
Assertion Supported
Ries: Twilio fired Jeff Lawson despite revenue growth since IPO
“So at the time he was fired, the stock was down like 80% from the peak. And it's like, oh, well case closed. But if you measure from the IPO or even from the pandemic peak, revenue was up. It's like, did the business go down? Was revenue down? Was there some k…”
Assertion Partly supported
Ries: Costco routinely receives the worst corporate governance ratings
“Costco came under attack in the early 2000 for having these non-standard governance practices. In fact, Costco routinely gets the worst possible governance rating from governance rating people.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ries: FTX bankruptcy's Anthropic stake exceeds the entire fraud value
“Apparently the stake that the bankruptcy has of those shares is worth more than the whole, than all of the entire fraud by a lot.”
Assertion Partly supported
Ries: 19th-century corporate charters never specified maximizing shareholder value
“If you look at the 19th century, like companies that were created and you read their charter, none of them say maximize shareholder value. That would have been considered a crime.”
Assertion Supported
Ries: Anthropic created a perpetual purpose trust at Series C
“I think it was a series C when they finally established this thing called the long-term benefit trust, which is not a nonprofit foundation. It's actually what's called a perpetual purpose trust, which is a different legal category, but the same idea outside tr…”
Assertion Supported
Ries: Stock holding periods, company lifespans, and executive tenures have dropped dramatically
“Average holding time of stocks is like dramatically down. Lifespan of companies is dramatically down. Average tenure of executives is dramatically down.”
Assertion Supported
Ries: FedMart went bankrupt within seven years of ousting Saul Price
“In branch A, FedMart's investors got what they wanted. They got Saul out of the way. They converted FedMart to traditional business practices. It was bankrupt within seven years.”