The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Hassabis: Frontier model capabilities reach tiny edge models within 6-12 months
“But I think for now there's the assumption we make is that, you know, a year later after one of our leading, you know, pro models or frontier models goes out half a year later, you'll have them in the, The really tiny, almost edge models.”
Demis Hassabis Apr 29, 2026 ▶ 10:01 Demis Hassabis: Agents, AGI & The Next Big Scientific Breakthrough · Y Combinator
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