why aren't all 61 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Epstein: Early Brex lacked user account creation, requiring manual password emails
“Brex, you know, which was, sorry, I was a credit card for startups. They didn't even have a way to create user accounts. Like you just like emailed them your password and that's how they set up the account for you.”
Insight
Epstein: Landing page headlines must sequentially tell the complete product story
“When you're designing your page, The headlines are the things that are really going to stand out to people. So we hit this, we read this headline, we read the sub headline because it's up at the top, and then we spent a lot of time here just because we were tr…”
Assertion Supported
Epstein: SaaS, transactional, and marketplaces make up 67% of top YC startups
“First is that SaaS businesses actually make up 31% of the top 100 YC companies. Transactional businesses make up 22% of the top 100 YC companies and marketplaces actually make up 14%. So just with these three business models, SaaS, transactional, and marketpla…”
Assertion Supported
Epstein: Top 10 YC companies generate 50% of top 100 overall value
“Turns out that 50% of the overall value of the top 100 YC companies actually comes from just the top 10.”
Assertion Supported
Epstein: Five of YC's top 10 companies are marketplace business models
“And what's especially interesting is that five of the YC top 10 are actually marketplaces.”
Assertion Supported
Epstein: Marketplaces make up 14% of top YC companies, 30% of value
“So marketplaces are 14% of the top 100 companies, but they actually create 30% of the overall value because so many are represented here in the top 10.”
Assertion Partly supported
Epstein: Stripe, Coinbase, and Brex are three top-10 YC companies
“It also turns out that three of the YC top 10 are transactional businesses too. So these are companies like Stripe, Coinbase, and Brex.”
Assertion Supported
Epstein: Stripe initially tested value by charging 5% per transaction
“So while most of their competitors were actually charging around three percent per transaction, Stripe decided to set their price at five percent per transaction, nearly double what their competitors were charging.”
Insight
Epstein: Early-stage startups should focus on pricing order of magnitude
“When you're just getting started, the important thing is to just find the right order of magnitude for your pricing.”
Insight
Epstein: Startup pricing is not permanent and takes years of iteration
“Pricing isn't permanent. This is really important. It often takes years to iterate and capture the full value of the product that you've built from your customers.”
Insight
Epstein: Ubiquity Strips AI Design Tropes of Originality and Impact
“It's not purple gradients are bad. Nobody should ever use them. It's that now they're just so ubiquitous everywhere that they kind of lose all meaning and specialness and originality.”
Insight
Epstein: Page animations distract users if applied to non-primary elements
“Anytime you have animations and you have things that are moving on the page, that always draws the viewer's eye. And so it's a good idea to use that when you're trying to highlight something that you want to make sure that somebody pays attention to first. But…”
Insight
Epstein: Startups should use pricing as a tool to learn customer demand
“It's important to think of pricing as a tool to help you learn faster. It can help teach you who wants your product. How much they want it? How much value your product provides to your users? And which channels you can afford to use to acquire your customers?”