why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Benet: Decentralized storage nodes will beat AWS on unit economics
“Our bet there is that yes, that there's a whole bunch of places and cases where Certain individuals or groups in the world have access to either really cheap storage or storage that's positioned well in the network that is kind of like, you know, somewhere bet…”
Disclosure
Werner Vogels: Major investments must materially move the Amazon balance sheet
“Then at Amazon you have to rule that if you do that, If it's going to be successful, it needs to be successful in a way that has significant impact on the Amazon balance sheet. Now, it's not that we're interested in another, let's say, ah, that sounds coy, but…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Werner Vogels: Early startups failed due to physical IT infrastructure costs
“So most of those companies that were initially successful around the Amazon catalog
All failed.
And they didn't fail because they didn't have great ideas.
They failed because they couldn't get their IT staff ready, or get the money to actually do, do, do, d…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Werner Vogels: 95% of AWS features are direct customer requests
“About 95% of features and services that we deliver are in response to direct requests from our customers.”
Assertion Contradicted
Scholl: Amazon's board and internal staff laughed at Jeff Bezos over AWS
“He was laughed at internally and laughed at by his board when he launched Amazon Web Services. He was laughed at by the world for e-commerce.”
Disclosure
Legora hot-swaps Claude, Gemini, GPT, and Mistral models interchangeably on AWS
“So we use AWS and Claude and Gemini and GPT and Mistral kind of interchangeably. The biggest thing there has been, how do we build everything in such a way where we can hot swap the models whenever we want, and also build it in such a way that the models becom…”
Assertion Supported
EU legal AI requires zero retention and human-review cloud exemptions
“Especially building for Europe. You've got to go through a lot of hassle to kind of conform with all the data processing requirements. So, you know, all data hosted within Europe, nothing for training, no retention. Exemption from human review when you look at…”
Insight
Blomfield: Startups must treat cloud and AI credits as cash costs
“So people at AWS, Microsoft, OpenAI, giving out tons and tons of credits to startups. You should treat those as a cash cost. Don't assume you'll have unlimited credits forever. It'll totally mess up your margins.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedman: Scribd Was Originally Hosted on Dorm Room Servers Before AWS
“This is before AWS. This is on a physical server. Originally physically in my dorm room closet, which is how I learned that servers are loud.”
Disclosure
Cheung: Startup School Offers AWS and DigitalOcean Credits and Stripe Atlas
“So we have cloud credits from Amazon Web Services and DigitalOcean and maybe some others and then every company that comes through will be able to incorporate and create a bank account with, through Stripe Atlas.”