Assertion Partly supported AI assessment confidence: 90% certainty 4/5 debate potential 3/5

Chaubard: HRM scored 70% on ARC Prize 1 without pre-training

Francois Chaubard · Recursion Is The Next Scaling Law In AI · Y Combinator · May 1, 2026 · at 10:09

Francois Chaubard discusses the benchmark performance of the 27M parameter Hierarchical Reasoning Model (HRM) on ARC Prize puzzles compared to OpenAI models.

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“There is no pre-training at all. This starts from, like, literally Tagula-Rasa weights, and it can outperform at that time, if we go back, you know, we had O-three, if you remember back, way back when. And it, O-three gets zero. Literally zero, and this got, like, something like 70% on ArcPrize one at least at the time, which was just a huge breakthrough.”

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Insight
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Prediction Not checkable as stated
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Opinion
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Assertion Contradicted
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