Ryan Petersen

Founder & CEO, Flexport · 2 appearances on the record.

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founderexecutiveinvestor@typesfast ↗LinkedIn ↗flexport.com ↗Wikipedia ↗

Ryan Petersen is the founder and CEO of Flexport, a digital freight forwarder and supply chain platform that integrates logistics management, customs brokerage, and tracking software. Before founding Flexport in 2013, he co-founded the global shipping intelligence company ImportGenius.

48statements → 23claims → 14claims resolved → 71%fully supported → 3.92/5average certainty → 1.67/5average debate potential → 7said about them ↓

10 supported 0 partly supported 4 contradicted 9 not checkable as stated how the 23 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 22 assertions · 2 opinions · 12 insights · 11 disclosures · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertions are the 23 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 14 are resolved, and 9 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Ryan argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Petersen: Amazon operates roughly 400 undisclosed private-label brands
“They have like 400 different brands now that you don't even realize are Amazon.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 9:52 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Capturing 20% of global freight makes a company bigger than Saudi Aramco
“Our goal is to get to 20 or 40% market share. If you do that, you're the biggest company on planet earth. Like full stop, like bigger than Saudi Aramco.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 45:21 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
100% certainty 3
75% certainty 4
0% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

Everything Ryan Petersen said on the Y Combinator Startup Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Petersen: Investors want founders who will succeed without them
“Also investors want to invest in things where they're like, this guy's going to do it with or without me. Like she's got this. I better invest now before she runs off and makes it, you know, and like leaves me behind.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 55:52 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Supported
Petersen: U.S. customs brokers charge $100-$300 across 30M annual shipments
“Usually it's not dependent on the value of the goods, but it's like between a 103 hundred dollars per shipment, and there's thirty million shipments that enter the U.S. Every year and are filed with a customs customs entry.”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 22:09 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: Prior startup aggregated 300M U.S. shipping manifests for subscription sales
“Every time you import a product into the U.S., it's public record, that product, and my last company actually sells that data. We aggregate every time you import something. We've collected three hundred million of those shipping manifests and sell subscription…”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 25:01 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: Flexport serves about 2,000 merchants selling on Amazon
“So we have about 2000 merchants that sell on Amazon that use us.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 2:23 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: About 10% of Flexport shipments go to Amazon warehouses
“Yeah, so probably about 10% of Flexport shipments get delivered to an Amazon warehouse.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 2:34 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Supported
Petersen: Flexport waited three years for US Customs license approval
“March 31st of twenty-thirteen is when we were granted the license by U.S. Department of Homeland Security Customs and Border Protection, and so I started working on the idea in like twenty-ten. Flexport for the, there was three years there waiting for the gove…”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 16:04 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flexport acquired its first customers via Google AdWords and SEO
“The earliest customers for Flexport we got via Google AdWords and SEO and just signups and people just finding us on the internet, signing up for the service.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 16:45 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Supported
Flexport operates its own dedicated Boeing 747 cargo plane
“We have a seven 47. We have our own plane.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 23:06 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Supported
Global logistics accounts for roughly 12% of the world's GDP
“It's literally logistics is 12% of global GDP. 12% of every dollar made by every person on planet earth. This goes into logistics”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 25:54 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Flexport took five years to generate its first dollar of revenue
“Now it took five years from the first time I had the idea to the first dollar of revenue was five years, four years of which it was just me and no other employees.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 32:05 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: Only 2% of Flexport Shipments Were Hit by First China Tariffs
“It was only about two percent of our shipments were affected by the first round of tariffs.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 34:08 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Contradicted
Petersen: Air Freight Is on Average 5x More Expensive Than Ocean Freight
“Air freight on average, about five times more expensive than ocean freight.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 37:17 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: Flexport Has Roughly 3,000 Paying Customers (August 2018)
“We have like about 3000 paying customers now.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 38:47 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Flexport is 95% to 98% outbound sales
“Flexport is a 98% outbound sales. Maybe it's 95% outbound sales model.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 39:46 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Contradicted
Petersen: The largest global freight forwarder has only 2% market share
“Now, the largest in the world only has two percent market share.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 45:08 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Obtaining customs brokerage license took Flexport years
“It took us years to get the license.”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 20:24 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Assertion Supported
Petersen: Importing goods can require filing up to 120 different forms
“Based on what the product is, there could be, like, a 120 different forms you have to file, so we have to take the, what the product is, determine which forms are needed, fill those out for the, ah, customer, file them electronically with the government.”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 20:39 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: Flexport employs licensed customs brokers rather than removing humans
“We're not removing the human elements, so we're pairing you with a licensed customs worker. We have customs workers on staff, and it's more of a communications tool to, like, enable it.”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 21:49 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: Flexport has three active importing customers
“Yeah, we have three customers right now .”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 22:42 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen: Flexport has a waiting list of about 300 companies
“Yeah, we're trying, we actually have a waiting list of like, 300.”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 22:45 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Assertion Supported
Petersen: US customs rules blocked centralized software clearance before 2007
“And actually until recently it wasn't possible to clear shipment except at your local port. So if you built a software startup to do this, you could only help people importing into the port of Oakland, unless you had an office in every port. In 2007.”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 23:56 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Flexport expects roughly 75% gross margins per clearance
“The gross margin should be about 75%.”
Ryan Petersen Oct 26, 2013 ▶ 26:33 Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Assertion Supported
Petersen: Imported Electric Scooters 15 Years Before the Modern Craze
“The scooter mania that's happening now is so fascinating for me because 15 years ago, my brother and I and our other business partner, Michael Kenko, we were importing electric scooters, almost the same form factor, similar price point.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 3:36 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
Disclosure
Petersen sold his Amazon stock right before it 4x'd to buy a house
“I sold my Amazon stock two years ago when I bought a house, and I literally, I was crying out. Maybe not literally, but I was like, this is the dumbest thing I've ever done. Why am I selling this stock? My house is up 10%, and my Amazon, Amazon's up like four …”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 11:21 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator

The other half of the tape: Ryan Petersen's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 7 times in 2 episodes on the Y Combinator Startup Podcast. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Dalton Caldwell 6Garry Tan 1

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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01120242025episodes it came up in
0030.56120242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 1 mention in 1 episode
2024 6 mentions in 1 episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator Aug 30, 2018 45m
Office Hours at Startup School 2013 with Paul Graham and Sam Altman · Y Combinator Oct 26, 2013 4m
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