The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sharma: India will never sustain an annual GDP growth rate above 6%
“And therefore we'll never grow at a rate of more than six percent on a sustained basis has been my view for a very long period of time.”
Ruchir Sharma Sep 3, 2025 ▶ 48:38 India vs. China vs. US: Who Wins the Next Decade? | WTF is Finance | Ep 1 ft. Ruchir Sharma · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sharma predicts large caps will outperform small and mid caps for the foreseeable future
“One of my big top trends was this, that I expect much more that the large caps to outperform small to mid caps for the small caps for at least the foreseeable future.”
Ruchir Sharma Sep 3, 2025 ▶ 2:23:32 India vs. China vs. US: Who Wins the Next Decade? | WTF is Finance | Ep 1 ft. Ruchir Sharma · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sharma: Poland is likely the next emerging market to achieve developed status
“And so the next country to become a developed country likely is going to be Poland.”
Ruchir Sharma Sep 3, 2025 ▶ 2:51:14 India vs. China vs. US: Who Wins the Next Decade? | WTF is Finance | Ep 1 ft. Ruchir Sharma · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nithin Kamath: The world's first trillionaire will emerge from climate solutions
“I think the first trillionaire on this planet will be someone solving for climate problem.”
Nithin Kamath Sep 2, 2023 ▶ 1:35:47 Ep #9 | WTF is Venture Capital? Ft. Nikhil, Nithin, Rajan A., Prashanth P. & Karthik R. · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Arora: Quantum computing will break every modern encryption key
“When quantum comes about, it'll break every key, which is true. It will break every key that is there today.”
Nikesh Arora Jun 28, 2025 ▶ 10:41 From Ghaziabad to Silicon Valley: Nikhil Kamath x Nikesh Arora | People by WTF | Ep. 11 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Tarun Mehta: Ather will reach 1,000 touchpoints within 2.5 years
“We'll go from 200 touch points to a thousand touch points in the next two and a half years. At which point you've crossed oil and field scale already.”
Tarun Mehta Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 2:02:32 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bombay Shaving Company will exceed 2020-2021 annual revenue in EBITDA this year
“So we will do more EBITDA this year than the revenue in”
Shantanu Deshpande Sep 20, 2025 ▶ 3:17:23 Tira, Bombay Shaving Co., Inde Wild | WTF is Fueling India’s Beauty & Skincare Revolution? | Ep. 25 · Nikhil Kamath
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