The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Khosla: AI will do 80% of 80% of jobs in 3-5 years
“Almost certainly, with no doubt, there isn't a job where AI won't be able to do 80% of 80% of all jobs. So, 80% of all jobs, AI will be able to do most of it within the next three to five years.”
Khosla: A 10-person company will hit $1B in revenue within ten years
“And sometime in the next 10 years, we will see a company with a billion dollars of revenue that has only 10 employees.”
Khosla: BPO and software IT services will mostly disappear
“I think it's very, you know, BPO as a business will disappear. Software IT services will mostly disappear. Disappear means transform pretty radically.”
Khosla: Most cars in most cities will be eliminated by 2050
“So one of my goals in my lifetime is to eliminate most cars in most cities. So if we put a 25 year metric on that, by twenty-fifty, we should be able to eliminate that. Now, there isn't another person in the world who told me that's reasonable. I'm pretty sure…”
Khosla: AI tutors will outperform the most expensive private human teachers
“The AI will do a better job than the most expensive tutor or teacher you can hire for your kids if you're rich and can afford anything.”
Khosla: AI will give Indian villages better cardiac care than Stanford
“A village in India, I will get better cardiac advice, cardiac care, than I can get at Stanford, because Stanford will still, in 15 years, have their cardiologists, and in the village, there'll be AI. Almost certainly true.”
Khosla: Global income redistribution will be essential by 2050
“I think some form of income redistribution by twenty-fifty will be absolutely essential everywhere in the world.”
Khosla: Most AI transformation won't be done by large companies
“And almost certainly, most of this won't be done by large companies.”
Khosla: AI deflation could make $10K in 2050 outbuy $50K today
“25 years from now, it could be that 10,000 dollars today, ah, in twenty-fifty, buys more goods and services that you need, whether it's food or housing or medical services or entertainment or education, than 50,000 dollars buys today.”