why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Adcock: Paying Passengers Will Fly on Electric Aircraft Within 5 Years
“So I think within the next, like, five years, we'll be taking passengers, like, paying passengers around in, in air spaces here in the world on electric aircraft like this.”
Assertion Supported
Adcock: Figure AI has shipped three robot generations in 3.5 years
“We're about three and a half years old now. We've shipped now three generations of humanoid robots. And we've been able to demonstrate that humanoids can do, like, useful human-like work now, fully autonomously, and in most cases, like, with neural nets all th…”
Assertion Supported
Adcock: Figure humanoids have run commercially at BMW for five months
“We have a commercial customer here in the U S we've now been running with for over five months now every day.
we put this out publicly.
It's with BMW.
That's a fully onboard onboard system that's doing all the reasoning onboard of what the robot should do.”
Assertion Supported
Adcock: Actuator and battery improvements allow fully electric humanoid robots
“We've now had torque density and power density of actuators and battery systems get good enough where you can run, like, fully electric systems instead of hydraulic systems, and that makes the robot smaller, lighter weight, quieter, faster like, you can run, t…”
Assertion Supported
Adcock: Archer Aviation Flies Full-Scale Electric Aircraft Weekly
“I mean, we fly basically every week our full-scale aircraft at this point, fully electric, similar concept operations we'd want to do in market.”
Assertion Supported
Adcock: Humanoid robots are far less energy-efficient than biological humans
“Today we're like far, like less efficient than a human. Humans are like the, are, we are like extremely efficient. Like, our, you know, biological neural nets are really efficient. The way, the, how much energy, or how much power we use to exert, like, walking…”