why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Armstrong: Bitcoin's Lightning Network Never Really Took Off
“The lightning network was a optimization layer on top of Bitcoin, but it never really took off.”
Opinion
Palihapitiya: Bitcoin can never become a central bank reserve asset
“The structural failing is that it is not, so if you think about like, what is the value maximizing function right now for a crypto asset to be broadly adopted? It needs to have the features that allow, ah, a central bank to adopt it. And there are two things t…”
Opinion
Armstrong: Bitcoin Succeeded as Store of Value, Not Medium of Exchange
“I think it's fair to say at this point that Bitcoin has succeeded as a store of value, and I don't think it has become a medium of exchange.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio predicts central banks are unlikely to hold Bitcoin as reserve wealth
“Bitcoin is limited in supply, and its perception of money, it is a form of money, it, it's perceived as money, as a storehold of wealth, that is unlikely to be significantly held by central banks, and many others, because of a number of Problems it has.”
Opinion
Sharma: Bitcoin and crypto are here to stay as mainstream assets
“I think Bitcoin is here to stay. Crypto is here to stay. This has lasted long enough. It's getting mainstream, whether it's banks or asset management firms who told you five years ago, we'll never touch this thing.”
Insight
Sharma: 2022 Russia sanctions triggered major shift to gold and Bitcoin
“That was a big, in fact, Philip for gold and for Bitcoin and stuff. The moment America sanctioned Russia, ah, back in, ah, the spring of twenty-twenty-two.”
Disclosure
Dalio discloses he holds a small amount of Bitcoin
“So I hold a little bit of Bitcoin. I have a little bit of Bitcoin, but for me, it's not as attractive as gold for the reasons you asked me my thoughts.”
Opinion
Sharma views gold and Bitcoin as equally viable anti-dollar plays
“I'm like equal, I mean, like, I, you know, like, do the two equally, because I've been bullish too equally, because my negative view is on the dollar. Right? So therefore, I see both those as sort of anti-dollar plays.”
Insight
Armstrong: Real estate is the original Bitcoin due to provable scarcity
“In some ways, like real estate is the original Bitcoin because it's like proved provably scarce.”
Disclosure
Kamath: I have never bought or traded a Bitcoin in my life
“See, I have never traded a Bitcoin ever in my life, never bought one.”
Insight
Armstrong: Most people should be index investors, not active traders
“I think most people should probably not be traders. They should be investors. You know, and dollar cost average, own the index fund, diversify the portfolio, have some, you know, have some in Bitcoin, some in everything, all the different pieces, so.”
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Proof-of-stake blockchains are 99.9% more energy efficient than proof-of-work
“Ethereum and other blockchains use a new system called proof of stake, which is actually 99.9% more energy efficient.”
Disclosure
Kamath discloses he has never bought Bitcoin
“I've never bought a Bitcoin in my life.”
Disclosure
Sharma: I hold zero crypto because I kept chasing the price
“No, unfortunately, like I've always chased the price, which is that I kept thinking it's getting too high.”
Disclosure
Bhat: I Bought Bitcoin After Hearing About It in a Punjabi Song
“That's how I bought Bitcoin. I heard it in a Punjabi song.”