The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 5 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Khosla: A 10-person company will hit $1B in revenue within ten years
“And sometime in the next 10 years, we will see a company with a billion dollars of revenue that has only 10 employees.”
Harari: People will increasingly consult AI instead of human religious leaders
“That can read and remember all the books, and has a chance of becoming the new authority. That people will increasingly, they have a question, they will not go to a human rabbi, they will go to an AI, and it's the same in Christianity, and it's the same with I…”
Khosla: Most cars in most cities will be eliminated by 2050
“So one of my goals in my lifetime is to eliminate most cars in most cities. So if we put a 25 year metric on that, by twenty-fifty, we should be able to eliminate that. Now, there isn't another person in the world who told me that's reasonable. I'm pretty sure…”
Sharma: Largest AI models will eventually be trainable on a single server
“There will be a time where you will be able to train largest of the models using one single server. You will not need a farm of servers.”
Kamath: Humanity will abandon fossil fuels within 10 years
“Like, if you look at these guys, Bill Gates, like I was mentioning and all that, I think, five, 10 years from now, I don't think we'll be thinking how we're thinking right now. I don't think we'll be going to fossil for energy. 10 years from now, for sure.”