Brett Adcock outlines the long-term technological trajectory of aviation toward full electrification.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Adcock: AI Hardware and Humanoids Will Replace Phones and Computers
“Yes. Every phone and computer was built pre-AI. The, All the hardware we have today in the world needs to be completely rebuilt from scratch.”
Opinion
Adcock: Most humanoid competitors deceptively rely on human teleoperation in demos
“And what you're seeing now in the world is like, I would say most major competitor to us at this point are putting out most of their content and updates teleopt from a human. And I think it's like perhaps some of the most deceiving things I've ever seen.”
Opinion
Adcock: Figure AI and the US lead all Chinese humanoid competitors
“The U.S., and particularly Figure, is ahead of every single Chinese company I've seen globally, of what I know publicly, in terms of capabilities. Like, watch the robot do advanced things with neural nets autonomously over long horizons. And the answer is, lik…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Adcock: Meta's AI lab approach is going to collapse
“It's, like, the opposite of what Meta, I think Meta's doing that right now, right? Look at the Meta, like, a super intelligence lab. It's, like, you're putting, like, I mean, it's just gonna, it's just immediately gonna, it's gonna immediately collapse. It's n…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Adcock: Goods and services prices will collapse toward zero with synthetic agents
“The prices of goods and services are, will slowly start collapsing, basically, anatomically approaching zero.”
Prediction Held up
Adcock: Paying Passengers Will Fly on Electric Aircraft Within 5 Years
“So I think within the next, like, five years, we'll be taking passengers, like, paying passengers around in, in air spaces here in the world on electric aircraft like this.”