The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 19 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Travis McGregor: Clear mobile calls depend on IP his team standardized
“So today we wouldn't be able to make a phone call with any clarity if it wasn't for the quality of experience and delivering intellectual property that, that I created or we created and put into the standards.”
Todd: Promoting Tech Founders to CEO Overnight at Google Would Have Failed
“You know, you didn't take the techies and turn them into the CEO overnight. That was not, that would have been a mistake. Let the techies do their thing.”
Wade: Uber was doomed to fail in China regardless of execution
“Uber was fighting a lost fight in that time. I don't think that they could, regardless of what they did, it wasn't gonna win. Given that there was a domestic option that, you know, everybody could back you know, there's a little bit of nationalism that comes o…”
Staying in Eastern Europe would have severely exposed Fish's business to tariffs
“If we were still manufacturing in Eastern Europe, we'd be getting murdered on tariffs right now, and the volatility of tariffs, and how that changes almost on a daily basis.”
Weisbrot: Building our 2020 AI product today would cost thousands, not millions
“If I were to have started that business today, I could have had the entire thing working with the AI cost maybe a few thousand dollars and take like two or three months. But it's a, it took two and a half years and cost over a million dollars and we still didn…”
Miller: Company would have made more money fighting the SEC
“And we would have made a lot more money had I continued fighting, but that risk was out there of, you know, they could impose millions of fines and they could, these legal costs could continue to grow.”
Bimani: Shinzo Abe's Assassination Could Not Have Been Prevented
“I would say you could not prevent it. If it's, if he's that trained, he knows a lot of the procedures and how to avoid them.”
Appel: JCPenney Would Have Failed Without Mall Operator Ownership
“If it weren't for the fact that JCPenney is owned by Simon and Brookfield, who are big mall operators, they would have gone out of business.”
Zen: Velocity acquisition price would be 10x higher with .com domain
“Had I been velocity.com, I could have easily gotten an extra zero.”
Archibald: Extreme frugality and avoiding marketing spend hindered agency growth
“We didn't spend anything on a marketing strategy. We didn't spend anything on SEO or PPC or anything like that. It was like bare bones, free tools, super cheap shit, whatever we could do to save the buck. And like, I think that in retrospect, that really is a …”
Jamison: Wealth would be 90% lower without going all-in on key bets
“And if I hadn't gone all in on those I would be, you know, one-tenth of my wealth, basically, of what I am now.”
Weisbrot: $650K invested in Nerve cost $20M in opportunity
“To invest in my company nerve. I invested 650,000. I've said that before publicly. If I hadn't invested in nerve that's 650,000 would today be worth about twenty million with another decision I could have made instead. And that's in a five year period.”
Lacritz turned down co-CEO role at startup now valued around $50M
“Before anchor, I got an a really good offer from a early stage startup to be like co-CEO president. And I turn it down. The company is pre IPO now and the valuation of that is, yeah, it's in the fifty million dollar range.”
Sean Weisbrot: Selling $4,000 Bitcoin to fund startup cost $15 million
“I had held that money in Bitcoin and I was paying for things for the business at a point when Bitcoin had hit its low of 4000 dollars. So had I not spent, had I not started that company, I'd have an extra 10 or fifteen million dollars in just liquidity.”
Caruana D: Delaying government contracting cost $880K annually over seven years
“The biggest, the most expensive decision that I never made was not learning about contracts earlier, like literally, because like all of those years that I was struggling at 20,030 thousand dollars, I could have been making a million dollars a year. So it was …”
Akramoff admits his father-son dynamic caused emotional overreactions during workplace disputes
“I also wouldn't have reacted if a regular employee did it. I wouldn't have reacted that way. I would have been very calm and very calculating about my answers and everything, but I got real emotional with him because it's, because, you know, this is my son.”
Joe Rare: Retaining Five Flips as Rentals Would Have Prevented Ruin
“If I just kept of the 20 something deals we did, if I had kept five of them, You know, and kept them all the way through and just collected a rent on them. And, you know, I would have been in a much different situation, you know, five, 10 years later.”