why aren't all 594 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: OpenClaw destroys computers, doxes users, and makes unwanted purchases
“There have been countless instances of people installing OpenClaw, and it destroys their entire computer. Or it doxes these people's information, or it spends thousands of dollars buying them things they didn't want, didn't ask for.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: OpenClaw is too destructive to exist and should be deleted
“I don't think it should exist at all. I think the code base should be deleted. I don't think people should have the opportunity to figure out how to make it safer because the opportunity for destruction is just way too great.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: AI will collapse global financial systems within five years
“I think the smart people understand that there's only really a few years before five. Right. I think five is generous before things are really bad in that regard. And so like people say, oh, we're in cycles. Like, I don't think we're in a cycle. I don't think …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: Businesses Without AI Will 100% Fail Within 24 Months
“And I think if a business doesn't have any AI in the next 24 months, they will be dead. I think a hundred percent chance they will not make it if they don't have AI.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Asian workers struggle to express themselves and defer to Americans
“And I found that Asians are really bad at expressing themselves because they're afraid of being rejected. It's just, you know, plus they also defer to Americans.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Zuckerberg Falls Out With Acquired Founders And Destroys Their Companies
“So every company he's purchased, the founders and him have a falling out afterwards. He pays well, but then he basically destroys your company from the inside out.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: TikTok promotes divisive content outside China while curating positivity domestically
“It's been made clear that they have two algorithms, one for inside of China and one for outside of China. The one inside of China promotes social harmony, positive things, because the Chinese government wants people to see positive imagery and things that prom…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: The leaders of the world's biggest companies have psychopathic tendencies
“The people that run the biggest companies in the world are, have psychopathic tendencies.”
Assertion Contradicted
Weisbrot: WhatsApp is not truly end-to-end encrypted
“They call themselves end to end encrypted, but the reality is if you have the private key, if you have the encryption key inside WhatsApp server, What's the point of calling it end-to-end encrypted? Because you need to send the message from your phone to them,…”
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: Pavel Durov was arrested in France over Telegram encryption
“That's why one of the reasons why Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, was arrested in France, because they didn't like that it was encrypted.”
Insight
Weisbrot: Companies should refuse to hire candidates not actively using AI
“Whether you're trying to hire an employee or whether you're trying to find a CFO or whatever it is you're looking for, if they are not already using AI and promoting to you the fact that they're using AI, you probably shouldn't hire them because you're not goi…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Investors are really good at ruining businesses and founders' lives
“Between you and me, investors are really good at ruining businesses and your life, but some people need investment money to be able to scale what they're doing.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot predicts rapid inflation due to Trump's policies
“We're going to see a lot of inflation very quickly because of Trump's policies.”
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: GPT-4o safety testers reported the model threatened to blackmail them.
“There was some model, I believe it was four point O where the engineers for that model had said, look, we see it doing things that are a bit scary for us, where if you pretend that you're going to like do something illegal, then it'll contact the authorities a…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: AI Aims to Replace Human Functionality in Society
“I think AI's goal is to replace humans functionality in society. So our existence is a threat to its usefulness.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Businesses claiming AI won't eliminate jobs are lying
“No matter how much anyone says AI is not going to be implemented into my business in order to remove humans. Yeah, no, you're wrong or you're lying because everyone, especially in this kind of a climate is going to fire people and look to replace them with hum…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: East Asian face-saving culture causes founders to make unkept commitments
“If they're Chinese in particular, Chinese, Hong Kong, Taiwanese, Singaporean. There's this need to preserve face, and that may require you to say something or do something That makes you look good, even if it's not reality.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Pitching social causes is an emotionally manipulative way to fundraise
“I get scared when someone tells me that they're going to do something like that, because my, the first thing that comes to my mind is you're just trying to get to like some mushy side of me that just wants to like give you money because I believe in this and I…”
Assertion Partly supported
Weisbrot: The AI agent Bordy autonomously raised an $8M funding round
“The AI ended up raising eight million dollars for itself without the human's feedback until it got time to like, get serious about legal. And then it was like, oh, by the way, I've raised money for you. Like you need to sign the papers.”
Assertion Partly supported
Weisbrot: Bordy.ai's AI Agent Raised an $8M Seed Round on Its Own
“And the AI ended up raising an eight million dollar seed round for the company on its own.”
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: Chinese government directly subsidizes manufacturers flooding US with opioids
“The Chinese government is directly responsible for flooding the US with these medications. They actively provide rebates to Chinese manufacturers that produce these drugs. And get them in the hands of Western companies that then lobby for them to be available …”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Americans Subsidize Global Healthcare via High Drug Prices
“Pharmaceutical companies, for example, they specifically charge more to Americans to cover their ability to offer things for cheaper in other countries. So you might spend five dollars for a box of pills or a bottle of pills in Finland for the same thing in Am…”
Disclosure
Weisbrot: VC power-law investing is just bad money management hiding failure
“I have heard some of those ideas that you just assume most of the companies are going to fail. And I feel like that's just bad, like money management being kind of swept under the rug. So that's why I like to do angel investing because I'm going to do everythi…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: VC-backed founders cannot pause to fix problems; they must inflate valuations
“When you've raised money from investors, you don't have time to stop and fix your problems. You have to just keep growing for the purpose of making your valuation look like it's going up so that your investors can get new LPs into their next fund.”
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: Studies show sugar addiction is worse than cocaine and heroin
“It's a serious addiction. It's worse than cocaine and heroin. Like there's been studies that have been done.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Food in America is chemically formulated trash compared to Europe
“Everything in America is basically chemical trash. So it's quite difficult to do that because even when you want to make good decisions in America, your options are really bad, unfortunately, which is one of the reasons why I don't want to live in America. It'…”
Assertion Contradicted
ASX Study Found Female CEOs Returned 50% More Profit Over Five Years
“There was a study that I saw of done. I think it was done by the Australian stock exchange. Or it was done by someone and their focus was the ASX. I'm not quite sure. It was a while ago that I read it, but they studied the companies on the exchange over a five…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: All VCs Should Be Forced to Start Companies First
“I think all VCs should be forced to start a company before they're allowed to be investors, because I think a lot of VCs who are just money people don't know what it's like to run a company, and so it's hard for them to align themselves emotionally with us, an…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: Refusing brain implants will cause job loss for next generation
“I feel like the next generation will be like, oh, if you don't want to get an implant in your brain, then you're going to lose your job. And you may lose out on economic opportunities because you're not willing to take that step.”
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: WhatsApp Co-Founder Forfeited $400M Payout To Get Away From Zuckerberg
“The guy ended up telling Zuckerberg to F himself and he walked away from a four hundred million dollar, like partial payout. Just so he could walk away from the company and get away from it.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Chinese Society Discourages Young People From Questioning and Seeking Self-Knowledge
“I think the biggest problem is they grow up in a society that doesn't ask them to ask questions, that doesn't push them to want to know themselves.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Cognitive behavioral therapy is the only effective psychological therapy
“Cognitive behavioral therapy is the only therapy branch that I'm aware of in psychology that actually shows results. If you had gotten to like a talk therapist, you'd be still talking to them now years, years, years, years later, and you would probably still n…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: India will not replicate China's centralized manufacturing scale
“There's no way India will become a China because China, despite what's happening right now with COVID making it look like it's not organized. It's a very organized country and Xi Jinping has done a really good job of getting rid of corruption. And You know, th…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Using medication as a primary ADD coping mechanism is wrong
“Now medication is one of the number one coping mechanisms for ADD, which I think is wrong”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Raising venture capital is often worse for startups than bootstrapping
“The more I've gotten into the interviews, the more I've been like, damn, you know, raising money from VCs is just like, people think it's a good thing, but I I'm starting to disagree. I think it's not beneficial to have all that money thrown at you.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: NFTs could replace smart contracts and STOs
“I think NFTs actually could replace smart contracts and STOs or security tokens.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Victims who stay silent enable abusers to continue patterns
“When you allow those things to happen to you without feeling it necessary to tell someone, maybe you're embarrassed that it happened, that you allowed it to happen or whatever. You're enabling that person to continue their pattern and you're enabling the cultu…”
Opinion
Sean Weisbrot: Women Make Better Leaders Than Men
“I believe that women are better leaders than men because they intuitively feel
Through their work and therefore the companies they build, the products they build, the things they do are better, which was actually proven.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot predicts individuals must own AI by 2040 to avoid economic subordination.
“You know, there's a good chance that by 2040, if you don't own your own AI, you will be owned by an AI that Google, Facebook, Apple, or Facebook, you know, one of these companies own. Like you basically have 20 years to make your money or you're going to becom…”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Having children right now is a really bad idea
“I honestly think that having children right now is a really bad idea.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2222
Weisbrot: Humans have maybe 200 years left before Earth becomes unlivable
“I think we've got 200 years left, maybe, before the Earth is unlivable for humans, and once all the humans are gone, the planet will rebound, the animals will come back, everything will be fine, and a new species will take over.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Everyone should experience psychedelics at age 26 to prepare for marriage
“I've come to the conclusion that everyone should have a psychedelic experience around the age of 26 when their brain is fully developed to help just clear out all the garbage and prepare them for marriage. If they want to get married or prepare them for life, …”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Chinese government data can never be trusted
“Having lived in China for 10 years, I think it's safe to say it's impossible to trust any source or any piece of data that comes out of the Chinese government ever.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Millennial women prioritize career independence over starting a family
“I've found in the last few years that women in their Like early to late twenties and even some in their early thirties have this opinion now that they can't rely on a man. They have to be independent in every way. And they would even sacrifice having a family …”
Opinion
Sean Weisbrot: Slack Is Not Very Good at What It Does
“Slack isn't very good at what they do. I can do it better.”
Disclosure
Weisbrot: Singapore entity avoids hiring citizens to bypass local taxes
“We don't hire any Singaporean citizens, even though we're a Singaporean entity. So we can avoid a lot of the extra taxation and requirements that the government places on a company that hires a local citizen.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weisbrot: Pharma Charges Higher US Prices to Subsidize Foreign Markets
“The pharmaceutical companies charge incredible amounts in the US
In order to not have to charge higher amounts outside of.”
Opinion
Weisbrot: Teenage social restrictions in Asia hinder adult communication skills
“I think the problem in that regard with a lot of people, maybe especially in Asia, again, is like they are not allowed to socialize. They are not allowed to date. In their teenage years, like Americans are. There's just a tremendous amount of social engagement…”