why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2046
Indries: AI will autonomously negotiate contracts and resolve lawsuits within 20 years
“You'll have, you know, AI just building the most amazing contract And the AI negotiating with other AI, you know, making compromises on each side, you know, just so that they can, you know, reach settlement or whatever. Right. When you will sue someone, 20 yea…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2046
Indries: AI will completely replace human accountants within 20 years
“Don't tell me that there'll be accountants 20 years from now. Why would you have an accountant when it's just math?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Indries: AI Outreach Scripts Underperform Agency Scripts 90% of the Time
“90% of the time AI generated scripts underperform the scripts we have in our marketing agency.”
Opinion
Indries: AI Cannot Detect Lies in M&A Due Diligence
“AI does not know to look through lies yet, right? So people tell you stuff, and you know it's a lie, but the AI will not know. It will not be able to figure out the lie.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Indries: Indistinguishable digital AI avatars are one to two years away
“Give it maybe one to two years and digitally, I will be able to create a digital avatar of myself that looks exactly like me, sounds exactly like me. You will not be able to tell.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Indries: People in Their Thirties Might Live for Hundreds of Years
“You and I might not die because we're like in our thirties. So we will evolve enough, you know, so that you can live to be a few hundred years old. And then if you live to be a few hundred years old, we might invent something, you know, that makes you basicall…”
Insight
Indries: Uncovering truth is the hardest part of M&A due diligence
“I think the hardest part is getting people to tell you the truth, because at the end of the day, you know, their goal is to get the highest multiple possible, you know, most bang for their effort in the last few years. So they're obviously biased. We are lucky…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Indries: Firm Has Never Lost Client Capital on Any Deal
“So, so far we haven't lost our client's money. Not even once which is, you know, not easy, but we always try to at least make their money back and, or our money, you know, because we co-invest most of the time.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Indries: AI Capable of Deep Deal Analysis May Arrive by 2026-2027
“Maybe by the end of 20, 26, we'll have some AI, or maybe in 20, 27, but right now that's not the case yet.”
Disclosure
Indries: Due diligence framework utilizes nearly 170 total questions
“We have a standard of 21 questions, and, you know, we analyze stuff, and wherever we feel that something isn't adding up, we go deeper, and then we go deeper. Just, you know, for the sake of the audience, we have almost a 170 questions total, you know, that we…”