The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Parrish: AI building its own application builders is over 20 years away
“Even though we can use voice to no code, we won't be able to use AI to just build the application builder itself likely by that point, just because there's a lot of server management logic and stuff like that, that needs to happen on the backend for that suppo…”
Parrish: High school graduates can easily make six figures using no-code
“You can come out of high school and already start making six figures, and that's something that, you know, has been very hard to do before and has never been easier with no code.”
Parrish: No-code will soon become the mundane, default way to build software
“No code really is going to become something that again is, has the Bezos yawn factor. Do you just think it's the norm and you stop thinking about it as no code? It's just the way you build software.”
Parrish: No-code handling Twitter-scale traffic is likely a decade away
“Certain things can't be done in no code and it might be a decade before they can be done in no code. So that might be some of the really heavy traffic loads that you would have a social network, like Twitter, Facebook”
Parrish: Bubble requires weeks of tutorials, not immediate quick output
“You really don't go to bubble and expect to crank something out really quickly. For something like bubble, you would go there and say, I'm going to spend two weeks going through all their tutorials and really get to know how to use this platform. And the benef…”
Parrish: Voice-driven software creation won't solve near-term development challenges
“Until we can really solve the problem of, you know, thoughts being coherent and not needing to write them down in a really, you know, technical way, I don't see it solving a huge challenge near term.”
Parrish: Easy no-code tools will create massive freelancer and agency supply
“As people are finding out how relatively easy it is to learn these tools, that's why I think there'll be so, so much supply on the agency side or on the freelance side.”
Parrish: Every layer of computing abstraction is a form of no-code
“Every time you abstract and add another layer of abstraction, that's a, another version of no code.”
Parrish: The US faces an annual developer shortage of 150,000
“In the U S there's about, you know, four to five million college Graduates each year, and only about less than five percent or 250,000 of those might have a CS degree or computer science education. You know, the problem is there's nearly 400,000 new jobs. And …”
Parrish: Bubble has over 400,000 users and processed $1B in loans
“They were founded in 2012, really launched in about 2015. They have over 400,000 users and one of their biggest customers has processed a billion dollars of loans on their platform, a fintech company.”
Parrish: No-code builders should be called developers, not coders
“It's still appropriate to call them developers is they do develop software. They just, someone who's developing on bubble. They're developing. They're just not writing code. So you wouldn't call them a coder, but you still call them a developer because they're…”
Parrish: Bubble custom-built features to land a billion-dollar showcase customer
“And I think Bubble, one of the co-founders, Emmanuel, did mention that initially they didn't have what this client needed. And they were, you know, they built it for them just because they knew they were going to be a showcase customer.”