The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Wong: Anthropic, Google, and Microsoft will clone OpenClaw in ten months
“My prediction is this within n number of months, less than 10 Entropic, now, now Open Claw become part of OpenAI, so that becomes the OpenAI part of this game. Entropic, Google, Microsoft, Everybody will have their equivalent of open, open call framework.”
Sze Wong Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 1:34 OpenClaw is the Most Dangerous AI Tool Ever Built
Assertion Supported
Schmidt: Most HR Tech Companies Lack Resources to Train Custom AI
“And the truth is that most companies who are in the HR tech space don't have the resources that someone like open AI has to train their content. And to train the AI. They just seem to, they don't have a billion dollars from Microsoft.”
Matthew Schmidt Jun 14, 2023 ▶ 38:38 People Logic Found a Signal in Our Tools We Never Knew to Look For
Assertion Supported
Rizzoli: Frontier AI Labs Spend Heavily on Expert Training Data
“And this is an ongoing effort where OpenAI, Anthropic, Google's teams are paying a lot of money for experts to give the AI their own personal knowledge.”
Alberto Rizzoli Jul 29, 2025 ▶ 24:20 Europe Is Half as Likely to Adopt AI. Here Is What That Costs Them
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