The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 22 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Gupta: AI models will eliminate the analytical layer in data pipelines
“I strongly believe the middle layer, which is the analytical layer, is going to go. The bunch of models that we are having, like, whether it is Anthropic or OpenAI, they are going to eliminate the interpretation part, which is mostly the analytical.”
May: OpenAI and Anthropic will be pushed to raise inference prices
“I think it's going to get worse before it gets better, because my guess is as open AI and anthropic IPO, wall street's going to scrutinize their unit economics. And it's probably going to ask them to raise prices, push them to raise prices on inference.”
Wong: Anthropic, Google, and Microsoft will clone OpenClaw in ten months
“My prediction is this within n number of months, less than 10 Entropic, now, now Open Claw become part of OpenAI, so that becomes the OpenAI part of this game. Entropic, Google, Microsoft, Everybody will have their equivalent of open, open call framework.”
Lazerow: Boring small businesses, not OpenAI, will drive real AI value
“The number one thing I'm excited about is boring businesses that use AI to streamline processes, to find new customers, to communicate in a better way, and we just think that although all of this discussion about AI has been focused on open AI and these multi-…”
Bilkowski: Premium AI plans are a no-brainer by replacing junior software developers
“And that can be, you know, if you're, you know, if your business is relying on it may be a no brainer because you're like, Hey, we're, I'm using this to write code, that code I'm able to sell for, you know, 10, 20 X, whatever I'm paying, you know, open AI. And…”
Jamison: AI foundation models will be commoditized without monopoly profits
“All of the big tech companies right now that are investing very, very heavily into building their own models. It's just going to be commoditized at the end. And no one really gets that monopoly profits where it's like, you know, a search, like Google got monop…”
Cohen: OpenAI killed document wrapper startups by launching native PDF chat
“I mean, open AI, for example, right now, now allows you to upload a PDF file, right? Those are the upload PDF and talk to it. How many startups did that just kill? Startups and businesses, right? There are so many that came up and said, Ooh, we're going to par…”
Smith: Base ChatGPT speaks like a socially unaware first-year analyst
“ChatGPT is very much like you know, talking to a socially unaware First year analyst who just kind of answers questions and is done. And it's not a very entertaining and interesting dialogue.”
Weisbrot: OpenAI Features on LinkedIn Will Degrade Platform Outreach Trust
“So basically my understanding of Open AI features on LinkedIn is it's going to make things worse than they already are. I think it'll be easier for people to one click, generate messages that are completely useless and people will just continue to not trust st…”
Weisbrot: Global Reliance on ChatGPT Could Homogenize Human Belief Systems
“Another issue with ChatGPT is if the world in mass becomes confident in the information ChatGPT provides, ChatGPT may become the underlying foundation for all information humans receive in the future, which means all of us will end up having a singular belief …”
Rajendran: Alumni of OpenAI, Stripe, and Palantir Secure Extraordinary Valuations
“If you are someone spinning out of open AI or maybe another popular company like Stripe or something like that Palantir, like you're getting extraordinarily you know, high valuations and good terms because people want to chase the folks that are leaving those …”
Smith: ChatGPT's lack of long-term memory prevents genuine parasocial relationships
“That is, it is impossible to build a relationship on top of that, and that is a little bit like what it is to chat, talk with ChatGPT, at least today, and a lot of the other AIs. They just don't have good long-term memory built in”
Chalana: Future AI will combine big tech and open-source models
“I think it'll be a combination of both, just like it is today. It's, there's some companies who created these I mean, open AI created this with a lot of investment from Microsoft and all that stuff. But then Pretty soon, right after that, we had Facebook open …”
Reyes: Hackers Are Actively Trying to Intercept ChatGPT Prompts for Credentials
“I think if you copy paste ChatGPT, probably OpenAI won't do anything with it, but I'm sure a lot of people are trying to see how to hack the prompts of people. To get all these passwords and codes and things that people just copy and paste away.”
Reyes: Microsoft's AI and Acquisition Strategy Is a Masterclass in Business
“What Microsoft is doing is one of the most brilliant business movements I've seen in my life, like, they bought GitHub, they bought LinkedIn they invested in OpenAI, and they have been building an empire”
Schmidt: Most HR Tech Companies Lack Resources to Train Custom AI
“And the truth is that most companies who are in the HR tech space don't have the resources that someone like open AI has to train their content. And to train the AI. They just seem to, they don't have a billion dollars from Microsoft.”
Huselstein: ChatGPT German output rapidly matched English quality
“Six weeks ago that the way that you could operate the system in German was quite limited or not yet at a point where it was feeling as natural as it was in English. However, today already you can use it Very well in German, and it gives you almost the exact sa…”
Huselstein: ChatGPT Outperforms Manual Developer Daily Repo Summaries
“All of a sudden you can have ChatGPT just write certain summaries about your daily work activity in a certain style that you give it, and then from now on never have to worry about everybody being up to speed with what you did in that day on the code, right? W…”
Huselstein: AI systems inherently cannot eliminate temporal knowledge bias
“There is almost no inherent way for the system not to be biased because at the end of the day, what is this knowledge that it's fed into? It is. Biased on, even if it's academia, it's only biased on the state of knowledge at the point in time, even if you can …”
Rizzoli: Frontier AI Labs Spend Heavily on Expert Training Data
“And this is an ongoing effort where OpenAI, Anthropic, Google's teams are paying a lot of money for experts to give the AI their own personal knowledge.”
Huselstein: ChatGPT launched because it is capable yet sufficiently restricted
“I think the reason why this is being published now is because it's good enough to be exposed to the public and probably also restricted enough to not scare people.”
Huselstein: Team Developed a ChatGPT 'God Mode' Jailbreak Within Five Days
“We had developed that in the first five days of GPT being out. There's a big possibility that that already doesn't work anymore simply because the system has been Hacked quote unquote in that way already, and generally I would guess they've built the system so…”