why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kineshanko: Blockchain is how the world builds for the next decade
“This way of building stuff is going to be the way the world builds stuff for the next decade.”
Assertion Supported
Kineshanko: Blockchain activity can be traced to identify specific users
“Well, you can actually track activity on the blockchain quite nicely because it's all open source.
So it's a bit tricky to figure out who's doing what, because people can have, you know, you or I could create wallets, numerous wallets and do stuff with those.…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kineshanko predicts Bitcoin will hit trillion-dollar valuation if trusted like gold
“If it even becomes a fraction as trusted as gold, it's gonna be worth many billions of dollars, which it already is, and then if it goes beyond, it becomes at least as trusted as gold, people are gonna run to it, and it's gonna be worth trillions of dollars.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2022
Kineshanko predicts multiple blockchains will act as trillion-dollar digital gold
“I think there's going to be multiple blockchains that act like gold, digital gold, and multiple blockchains worth trillions of dollars.”
Insight
Kineshanko says crypto tokens act as liquid venture capital, not traditional equity
“This is liquid venture capital. So these tokens represent not even equity in most cases, but they represent kind of an exposure to a startup project.”
Prediction Held up
Kineshanko: Dedicated blockchains will emerge for identity and medical data
“There's going to be a lot of different blockchains. Like there'll be a blockchain for transferring identity. There will be a blockchain for secure medical information.”
Assertion Supported
Kineshanko notes crypto tokens often become liquid before a product exists
“Within the crypto world, people's tokens are going liquid often before they even have a product.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kineshanko claims Chinese crypto miners negotiated free power on massive ships
“There's mining shops that have like purchased massive ships in China and they've negotiated to get free power from the Chinese government to mine this stuff.”
Opinion
Kineshanko: Metastable and Polychain are the two best crypto hedge funds
“Do you have a personal relationship with Metastable and Polychain, which are the two best hedge funds in this space, in my opinion?”
Assertion Supported
Kineshanko: Token market grew to $90B in roughly five years
“We've gone from zero to ninety billion market cap in like, you know, around five years.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kineshanko notes only 66 liquid venture token offerings occurred in 2016
“There was only 66 offerings of these liquid venture tokens last year.”