why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bendray: Olive reaches $6M ARR with six-person team
“Revenue today is six million RR team size. We recently expanded. So now it's six people.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bendray: Olive revenue is 100% subscription-based
“We have, it's all like subscription based. So it's all across their mobile app. It's all subscription.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bendray: Olive's initial TikTok hit 1M views and converted 10k users overnight
“The first product had gone out, it had gone with, ah, a TikTok video, got a million views overnight. It turned to 10,000 users.”
Assertion Supported
Bendray: Olive's mobile app portfolio has reached about 4 million total downloads
“It's about four million downloads. I believe it's wild.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bendray: Olive scaled app Unstuck to 1 million users in under nine weeks
“That's why unstuck when we launched that, we were able to get to about a million users in under nine weeks.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bendray: Quizzard generates roughly 100,000 monthly downloads and $400K revenue
“Yeah, it's roughly correct. We also have like our unstuck, which is off of a Stripe, i.e. The web app piece.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bendray: Quizzard initially monetized only peak-hour queue skips via tokens
“I actually like the first, like iteration of like the business model for Quizzard was everybody and all usage was free. And like, there's actually an interesting way in which we were able to support that. Because but I'll get to end the study, but basically ev…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bendray: Nikita Bier advised Quizzard to switch to weekly subscriptions
“Mike actually like texted Nikita, I think on Twitter and Nikita was like switch to weekly subscriptions and charge more or something like that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Olive: 2023 TikTok campaign captured top 3–5 search results for elite colleges
“For example, like in the fall of 20, 23 we ran this like man in the street campaign where if you search like Harvard, Boston, Columbia, NYU on Tik Tok we were the first three videos, if not the first five.”