why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Ryan Buckley: Content marketing has become a race to the bottom
“Content marketing seems to be like a race to the bottom now.”
Disclosure
Ryan Buckley: Texas PE buyer halted payments on Toofr sale
“I sold it to a another private equity firm in Texas. That relationship kind of went south and they've been a bit litigious. So I won't say exactly who they are, but just the very high level thing that, that kind of went, went south was they were on sort of a p…”
Disclosure
Ryan Buckley: Xenon structures general manager shadow equity as side letters
“And shadow equity also means that they so, you know, Xenon doesn't want to write GMs into the cap table. It's just it's just overhead, just kind of hassle. So it's essentially, it's a side letter that says if, and when there's a liquidity event, you get X perc…”
Opinion
Ryan Buckley: MightySignal was a single feature, not a standalone company
“It's essentially a feature versus a platform and mighty signal very much like really good at the single feature about what it does, breaking apart apps, looking for SDKs, tracking it in a database. It's not really a full blown company. It's just, there's just …”
Insight
Ryan Buckley: Sellers accepting private stock should demand mandatory liquidity terms
“If there is stock and it's a private business, you want to essentially have warrants that would Force the buying entity to essentially cash out your stock in a certain amount of time if they don't go public or something like that.”
Assertion Partly supported
Ryan Buckley: MightySignal had $1M ARR and zero employees upon acquisition
“No, they're actually none. So he bought the business. The whole team was acqui-hired by Instacart. And so he handed me a business that was doing a million ARR with no team.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ryan Buckley: MightySignal board approved shutting down at a total loss
“They were about to shut it down. And the board had already approved it. The assumption was they were going to let it go. Investors were going to take a loss.”
Disclosure
Ryan Buckley: MightySignal CEO compensation included over $100K and shadow equity
“Low double digits kind of shadow equity And it was higher than a hundred K.”
Disclosure
Ryan Buckley: Xenon Ventures targets at least a 3x to 4x exit
“Their thesis is to get at least three to four X out. So we want to then sell for a multiple three to four revenue or at least acquisition costs like what they bought it for.”
Assertion Supported
Ryan Buckley: AirNow raised far more capital than reported on Crunchbase
“So I think that crunch based data is probably off and, you know, overseas investments some private deals don't all get cataloged in crunch based, but they have a whole network of European investors.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ryan Buckley: Xenon Ventures will hold Baremetrics as a cash cow
“I think that one's a cash cow. They're going to hold on to it for a while.”
Assertion Partly supported
Buckley: Scripted has raised $15 million in capital
“We have, we've raised fifteen million dollars for scripted.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Buckley: Toofr's ARPU is $180 per month
“Our poo right now is 180 dollars.”
Disclosure
Buckley: Toofr is completely bootstrapped without outside capital
“Completely bootstrapped.”
Disclosure
Buckley spent zero personal dollars to bootstrap Toofr
“I'd say no, it's none. Zero.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Toofr's monthly gross customer churn hovers around 10 percent
“Yeah. It still hovers around 10%. Last couple months have actually been pretty good, like six, seven percent range acquisition.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Toofr's MRR has remained flat at $18,000 for the past year
“So that 18 grand MRR has actually been relatively flat for the last year.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Toofr acquires customers completely organically with zero ad spend
“It's completely word of mouth organic. I don't spend on AdWords. I don't really do anything.”
Disclosure
Toofr has 16,000 lifetime registered users but only 100 active customers
“There's like 16,000 people who have registered in Twofer's lifetime. Like I said, I got a hundred active customers in any given month, but like 16,000 email addresses that are inbounds.”
Disclosure
Ryan Buckley: Jonathan Siegel required divesting side businesses for MightySignal role
“The other thing was I had to sell my site business. So he knew about two for the finding emails app and that I had this other things going on. It's like, don't want you distracted.”
Assertion Supported
Buckley admits competitor Email Hunter beats Toofr in SEO
“Hunter kicks my ass in, in SEO.”