The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Yanowitz: China emerges as the geopolitical winner from the COVID-19 pandemic
“China wins.
And that this was not like, this wasn't the case after nine, 11 in the financial crisis.
Like after both of those, the U S stepped up, right?
The U S like had everyone else's back, but this is
A, like we're just feeling it's very de-globalized bec…”
Yanowitz: November 2020 US presidential election could be delayed
“I do wonder if we will have an election in November. I'll say that. I don't know. I w I don't think it's crazy to think that we won't have, what happens is you delay, quote unquote, you delay the election in November.”
Yanowitz: Fed stimulus cannot drive GDP growth during pandemic lockdowns
“In the 2008, 2009, the pumping money into the economy that actually worked really well. Right. And we got out of that recession. Why? Because it was a financial crisis. So people didn't have enough money. You print more money, you give them more money. They go…”
Yanowitz: Institutional investors will allocate 1% to 2% to Bitcoin as a hedge
“What you're going to have is you're going to say, you're going to have these folks saying,
I need to hedge against the, I need to hedge against our current system because we are in a system that they see completely falling apart.
And so they need to, what they…”
Yanowitz: Bitcoin will reach $20,000 to $100,000 within two years
“My price target for the next two years at a minimum is 20,000 dollars. That's at the low end. At the high end, that's a 100,000 dollars.”
Yanowitz: Federal Reserve balance sheet will reach $10 trillion
“I think we're, we'll be at 10 trillion dollars right on the feds balance sheet, which is basically the amount of money that's in the economy right now.”
Yanowitz: Stimulus will cause equities, Bitcoin, and gold to rip
“When you get a ton of like stimulus, well, the equity market's going to pump. It's not just, I, you know, I think Bitcoin's going to go up. I think gold's going to go up, but I think the equity market's going to absolutely rip.”