why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Howard Marks claims VCs only invest in white males from Stanford
“VCs typically only invest in white males from Stanford.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howard Marks predicted SaaS models would inevitably transform into ICOs
“You know, for them, the SaaS business is probably the only way a software model is going to work, but it's going to transform itself into the ICO model, which is the blockchain, because it's the logical progression, you know, internet, one point O internet, tw…”
Insight
The video game industry invented the modern SaaS subscription model
“By the way, the entire game industry is now a SaaS model, as you probably know, software as a service, because people are now buying either a subscription or they're buying a pay-as-you-go Which is really where the game industry invented it, and the SaaS indus…”
Insight
Gaming invented cryptocurrency mechanics long before blockchain existed
“If anybody who's listening understands cryptocurrency blockchain, and all of this technology, it all existed in the game industry before cryptocurrency became popular.”
Opinion
Activision is nearly as big as Disney and could become bigger
“No, Activision is independent. It is nearly as big as Disney, or it could become bigger than Disney, but it's Acclaim, my other game company.”
Disclosure
Howard Marks bought 30% of Activision for just $400,000 in 1991
“So we bought 30% of the company from one investor was a venture capitalist. We was like, you know what? I'm out. So we paid that, I think, 400 grand.”
Assertion Supported
Howard Marks offered just $100,000 to buy Acclaim out of bankruptcy
“I offered a 100,000 dollars to buy the whole company and people were laughing at me. The trustee laughed at me, everybody. It turns out.”
Assertion Contradicted
Acclaim went bankrupt because their auditor fired them
“They couldn't file their public statements or publicly traded company. They, their auditor fired them and they couldn't file anymore.”
Assertion Contradicted
Activision had $40M in revenue and $60M in losses in 1991
“They had about 60, they had about forty million In revenue with sixty million of losses. It's called negative, negative revenue, which means the cost of making those cartridges at that time cost them more than what they sold it for.”
Assertion Supported
CD-ROMs cost 50 cents to manufacture versus $30 for cartridges
“And it cost 50 cents to make the CD, where the cartridge cost 20, 30 dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steve Jobs tried to acquire Howard Marks's startup when he was 20
“Well, I met Steve Jobs when I was 20 years old at Apple, because he wanted to buy my company.”