why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Harry Campbell: Rideshare drivers earn roughly 50% less than at launch
“Drivers are making probably 50% less than they were when they first started.”
Insight
Campbell: Gig Platforms Face Major Driver Supply and Retention Problems
“So companies like Uber, Lyft, DoorDash, Postmates, they all have huge problems with retention, retaining drivers, and just on the supply side in general, since they're growing so quickly and they pay out pretty big, Bonuses.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2021
Campbell: Uber will never acquire his blog, The Rideshare Guy
“I don't think that they would ever acquire me.”
Assertion Partly supported
Campbell: Uber continually lowered, never raised passenger fares before 2016
“Anyone who's used Uber in the past two to three years, there's never been a price raise. It's always the price is just continually going down.”
Assertion Supported
Campbell: Mid-sized market rideshare drivers gross $15 to $20 hourly
“I'd say you're probably making about 15 to 20 bucks an hour.”
Insight
Campbell: Drivers ignore vehicle depreciation because they already owned cars
“And really one thing that I kind of talk about a lot on my site that parallels a lot about what you talk to your entrepreneurs about is just, you have to think about the income side, but you're running a business. You also have to think about your expense side…”
Disclosure
Campbell: The Rideshare Guy generates $3K-$4K monthly from insurance agents
“We signed up over 15 agents at this point on a monthly, you know, we renew them every two months from anywhere from one to 400 dollars. So that's providing around three or 4000 dollars a month right there.”
Disclosure
Campbell: Left six-figure Boeing engineering compensation for The Rideshare Guy
“I was right about 80,000. So probably like a typical mid-level kind of junior engineer. I mean, obviously plus benefits and bonus and all the, you know, I worked for Boeing. So it was one of these top, you know, top aerospace companies plus all the matching. S…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Campbell: The Rideshare Guy Reached 450,000 Monthly Page Views
“I think last month we were right about 450,000 page views.”
Opinion
Campbell: The Rideshare Guy could grow into a business like The Points Guy
“It's a guy named Brian Kelly, and he runs a travel and miles and points blog called The Points Guy. And he's kind of like someone that I really look up to for what he's built. I think that's kind of something my site could eventually grow into.”