The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

1resolved → 0open claims → 1supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up

Mark Zuckerberg Might Run for President in 2024

“No, but he might run in twenty-twenty-four.”

Derek Thompson Apr 11, 2017 ▶ 17:28 EP 626: Senior Editor at The Atlantic Releases Book To Predict Popularity In New Distraction Age with writer Derek Thompson

Assertion Not checkable as stated

Publisher Advance Bids for Hit Makers Had a 2x Spread

“I would say the delta was probably about probably about two X. That but that includes people who were sort of in the bid.”

Derek Thompson Apr 11, 2017 ▶ 10:55 EP 626: Senior Editor at The Atlantic Releases Book To Predict Popularity In New Distraction Age with writer Derek Thompson

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The Ledger

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