TinySeed partner Einar Volset explains why early-stage investing requires broad diversification to reliably capture accidental outlier returns.
Opinion
Volset: Sam Altman's $10B startup valuation rule makes no sense
“He wrote a piece and I think in January saying how to invest in a startup. And he said, you should never invest in any company that couldn't potentially be a ten billion dollar company. And I'm like, that doesn't make any sense. Like there's a lot of companies…”
Insight
Volset: Brokered sales anchor strategic acquirers to lower private equity multiples
“If you really want to get 30 X revenue or 20 X revenue or 15 times revenue it's hard to do that if you're in like a sales process with a broker. Like if a broker is going out to market, then the strategic knows that, okay, there's a floor in pricing because he…”
Insight
Volset: A $75M exit at a low valuation reliably delivers 50x returns
“If you're coming in at one and a half million pre, Then a 50 X return is, is the company sells for 75. Now those kind of outcomes are much more doable and much more frequent than you know, you, I, something selling for seven hundred and fifty million or a bill…”
Insight
Volset: CS academics view leaving for industry as a personal failure
“If you're in CS academia, like, you know, high up and you decide to go to industry, even if you decide not to go to like pure industry, if you go into like industrial research, they almost feel people, you almost get the sense that people feel sorry for you. L…”
Insight
Volset: Regional investors struggle because wealth comes from traditional industries
“Part of the problem is, is that the people with money in Silicon Valley typically made it doing early stage startups, you know, and they, so they understand it. Versus people in places like, you know, Vancouver, or Chicago, or, you know, DC, made their money e…”
Insight
Volset: Private equity caps SaaS multiples at 10x; higher requires strategics
“If you're growing zero to 20%, then like what is an easy multiple to get, I think is about three X. And then and from 20 up to about 50%, you can probably get four X, maybe five. From 50 to about a hundred percent growth. This is annual growth. You can get any…”