The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jonathan Kumar projects Samaritan capping out as a $25M annual business
“I think when we win, this is a 15 to twenty-five million dollar a year business, so it's not in a stratosphere in terms of VCs and Facebook-type valuations, so we definitely believe there are returns to be had.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 10:16 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan's Seattle pilot helps 28 leave streets and generates $100K revenue
“We've launched a 500 beacon pilot in Seattle, and we've seen and helped over 28 beacon holders leave the street, saving our city half a million dollars per year and earning our first 100,000 dollars in licensing revenue.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 3:51 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan active users receive $40-$50 monthly and show 30-40% program retention
“We see right now about 40 to 50 dollars per active beacon holder per month, which is so low, but what's amazing about that number is even with an amount as low as 40 to 50 dollars, we're seeing 30 to 40% of beacon holders keep their beacon and go through the p…”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 5:32 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan users completing monthly check-ins are likely to exit to housing
“We see that beacon holders who complete those one-on-ones are likely to exit to housing, employment.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:10 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Samaritan aims to expand its platform to 99 additional cities by 2023
“Our ultimate vision is to help people without a home in 99 more cities by twenty-twenty-three.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:52 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan charges $175K annually per mid-sized city with $100K execution cost
“Our average license for a Portland-sized city or a Madison, Wisconsin would be about a 175 K a year annually, and it costs us about a hundred K to execute.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:55 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan has only one customer at the time of the pitch
“We have one customer.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 9:33 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
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