why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
McAndrew offers to invest $1M to $1.5M in Sundae pending diligence
“I work in a partnership, so I have three partners, but I would be very excited to jump into diligence, and my investment would be, I would say, at least a million. I would rather do 1.25, if you'd be open to taking more. I'd even go 1.5 if you would be willing…”
Assertion Partly supported
Josh Muccio: Baukunst only writes lead checks in the millions
“Baukunst doesn't really do small checks. They're either leading your entire round and investing millions, or they're out.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
McAndrew predicts Jungle's seed round will close at a $12M–$15M valuation
“But my guess is this gets done At 12, 15, and it's, like, at 12, 15, and that makes sense, given where they're at, the fact that they did a pre-seed, but also just, like, the data”
Disclosure
McAndrew proposes leading Jungle's seed round with $1.25M at $10M post
“I would look to lead this with something like 1.25 million at a 10 post, just because that's often where the valuation threshold is for us with the deals that we like to do.”
Disclosure
McAndrew: $100M Fund Requires $1B Exit Potential for Every Deal
“One of the reasons that I rarely invest in beauty is because we have a hundred million dollar fund. And the way that we think about returns for our fund is we want the opportunity for every company that we invest in to have the opportunity to return our whole …”
Disclosure
McAndrew: Baukunst typically leads pre-seed rounds between $750K and $1.5M
“We typically lead rounds like this with somewhere between 750 K and 1.5 million. That's really in the sweet spot for us.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baukunst passes on investing in Jungle
“Baukunst passed on Jungle.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McAndrew: Baukunst can write checks up to $2M maximum
“So we can flex our check up to two million. That's our biggest investment.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Muccio: Baukunst passed on Aura Finance due to sector and valuation
“After the show, Kate talked to her partners at Baukunst, and indeed, this one was too far out of their scope, on two axes. FinTech, they do not do, and at a fifteen million dollar price, they'd need to write a much larger check than the one million Kelsey had …”