why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Metzer: Running Injury Rates Unchanged in 50 Years Despite Footwear Changes
“The thing about running-related injury and the rate of injury, it hasn't changed for 50 years, it hasn't improved. It doesn't matter what shoes are running in, and so ultimately what we've learned The shoe can have a small impact, the materials of the shoe, an…”
Insight
Metzer: Smart shoes build aspirational brands impossible with insoles
“And so we think we can build a really exciting and aspirational brand around the first of its kind smart running shoe in a way that you just can't around an insole that's hidden inside of your shoes or a gadget that's attached to your laces.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Metzer: Avello margins will start at 60% and reach over 70%
“We'll start around 60% gross margin, and obviously we're doing small volumes. That also depends on how we monetize the app, how much we can charge for the app, and how many people are willing to pay for it over time. I see an opportunity to build a gross margi…”
Opinion
Zises: Avello founder Rowe Metzer's pitch ranks in top 1%
“I would put you in the top one percent of all the pitches that I get. Like you definitely are in that class of founder and hopefully see this in the market.”
Assertion Contradicted
Metzer: Measuring Step Impact Previously Required Expensive Lab Equipment
“Until now, there was not a good way for runners to measure that on every step. You'd have to go into a lab and run on a very expensive piece of equipment, and that was the only option”
Insight
Yin: Consumers resist monthly subscriptions for preventative health products
“For injury prevention, for anything preventative, actually, you know, people have pause around, should I pay on a monthly basis to prevent something from happening?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Metzer: Avello prototype has logged over 1,000 miles across 10 runners
“And we already have a prototype that's getting great reviews from 10 runners who've logged over a thousand miles in them.”
Disclosure
Yin: Hustle Fund Typically Invests At Valuations Under $10 Million
“We typically go under 10, so like your last round was already quite high, and so. I didn't even try to negotiate here.”
Disclosure
Metzer: Avello is raising $3M to launch and sell 5,000 pairs
“We're raising three million dollars to go from prototype to production, launch our product, and sell our first 5000 pairs, and our vision is to create and lead the smart footwear category”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armbrust Writes An Angel Investment Check For Avello
“So he ended up writing an angel check.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Metzer Lowers Avello's Funding Round Target To $1 Million
“He's just raising a million now instead of the full three.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Avello Raised $890K Pre-Seed at $12M Post-Money Cap
“We raised 516,000 dollars in 2023. And then last year we kicked off a pre-seed and we raised 890,000 dollars. At a twelve million dollar post money cap.”
Assertion Contradicted
Metzer Plans Avello Kickstarter Pre-Order Launch In May 2025
“In other news, Rowey is planning to take pre-orders for the world's first smart running shoe, On Kickstarter in May.”