The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

1resolved → 0open predictions → 1held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up

Tyler Hogge predicts the US government will provide AI loan backstops

“But a backstop of loans, I would expect that to happen.”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 11:02 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Tyler Hogge predicts China will spend whatever is necessary on domestic chips

“That even if we give China chips, they will still spend as much as they need to in order to catch up themselves.”

Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 24:44 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN

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The Ledger

Turn any episode into a week of clips.