why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Arnott: A water-based conflict with China in the Asia-Pacific is coming
“So the Asia Pacific fight with China, clearly that's a water-based conflict that's coming.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arnott: Anduril can build thousands of Copperhead systems yearly vs legacy 100-200
“We can also build them at thousands per year, whereas kind of right now, you may be lucky to get a 102 hundred torpedoes out of a supply chain as it exists today.”
Assertion Supported
Arnott: Over 90% of internet traffic runs on unprotected subsea cables
“80%, oh sorry, 90% plus of internet traffic. So this particular podcast would be running across subsea cables. Many nations have their gas lights under the waves. These are broadly unprotected, unwatched right now.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arnott: Anduril's square underwater vehicles fly faster and more stably
“The guys did the numbers and interestingly for what we're doing, it's actually faster. So given we've got the software magic to fly these things, It actually flies more stable and quicker for the application that we want.”
Assertion Supported
Arnott: Anduril's Seabed Sentry is completely wireless and fully electric
“One of the key things I will, ah, lay out is this is a cableless system. So it's completely wireless. So all the systems, as you guys probably know, a Cold War era, you need big cable laying ships to put these, ah, systems on the sea floor, ah, almost impossib…”
Assertion Supported
Arnott: Anduril's Dive-XL can carry dozens of Copperheads and Seabed Sentries
“Within the dive XL, which is our big
Underwater submarine or autonomous submarine, I should say, we can put dozens of copperheads in.
We can put a dozen seabed sentries.”