The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 0open predictions → 0held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Mochida: A Katrina-Level Storm in Florida Will Bankrupt Property Insurers

“But when the next Hurricane Katrina happens in, you know, Florida, for example, then insurance is just going to be insolvent in many ways.”

Koki Mochida May 31, 2025 ▶ 2:44:44 Weekend Special: Elon Recap, Balaji, Chris Dixon, Brian Armstrong, Crypto Day + Thiel Fellows

Prediction Not checkable as stated

A Katrina-Scale Hurricane Hitting Florida Will Trigger Mass Insurer Insolvency

“But when a next Hurricane Katrina happens in, you know, Florida, for example, then insurance is just going to be insolvent in many ways.”

Koki Mochida May 28, 2025 ▶ 2:17:27 We Interviewed the New Thiel Fellow Dropouts

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The Ledger

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