The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: Space data centers will be the world's most important development
“I think the most important thing that's going to happen in the world in the next Three to four years is data centers in space.”
Gavin Baker Dec 10, 2025 ▶ 22:05 Paramount’s Deal Playbook, Trump Opens Nvidia’s China Door, Saudis Loosen Drinking Laws | Diet TBPN
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Baker: Sovereign AI Outside the US Will Rely on Fine-Tuned Open Source
“Yeah, so I think what sovereign AI will look like for essentially all countries really other than the United States and China, although I think China is going to fall further and further behind, is just some sort of, you do, you use you know, you use one of th…”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 22:39 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: China's Distillation Edge Vanishes if US Labs Halt Open Releases
“They've gotten really, really good at that, but man, all that goes away if people stop releasing these models at the frontier, and I think mythos is a side of things to come there.”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 24:48 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: SpaceX Could Become the British East India Company of Space
“If SpaceX puts a city on, on the moon and then Mars, and enables, you know, becomes the British East City Company, the solar system, I think this will, those, there's a lot of hard engineering that needs to happen to go into all that. This will probably be the…”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 28:59 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: Terrestrial Physical Computing Infrastructure Assets Will Appreciate in Value
“Installed atoms on earth, I think are going to appreciate and value.”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 8:04 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
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