The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2,353 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 20 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bishop: Corrupt PLA officer promotions functioned like angel investments for future revenue
“It's kind of like an angel investment, at least in some cases where actually people would collectively buy a stake in a rising officer because I'm not joking. Right. Literally.”
Coogan: 17% of Tracked Tech Figures Appeared in Epstein Emails
“Big tech alerts that around 17% of the people that we track with this account are on the Epstein emails.”
Hays: Jeffrey Epstein Invested in Coinbase at a $400M Valuation
“Looking back and seeing, seeing even, even after the original conviction, how many companies he was able to get in, he got into Coinbase at 400.”
Coogan: SpaceX confirms plans to merge with xAI before IPO
“SpaceX confirms plans to merge with XAI before the IPO. Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with XAI.”
Hays: SpaceX and xAI in merger talks ahead of planned IPO
“So, they're in discussions ahead of a blockbuster IPO planned for later this year. The combination would bring Musk's rockets, Starlink satellites, and X social media platform, and the Grok AI chatbot under one roof.”
Thinking Machines terminates CTO Barrett Zoff due to alleged unethical conduct
“Breaking Thinking Machines has terminated its CTO, Barrett Zoff, due to unethical conduct.”
Hayes: David Solomon Was Told to Shut Down Marcus or Resign
“DJ D Sol was told to shut down Marcus and Consumer, or get out of the job. So he cut all of Marcus except for savings.”
Musk says xAI will exceed all combined AI compute in five years
“Elon Musk says that XAI will have more AI compute than everyone else combined in less than five years.”
Baker: Cooling space data centers is virtually free via dark-side radiators
“In space, cooling is free. You just put a radiator on the dark side of the satellite, and it's as close to absolute zero as you can get. So all that goes away, and that is a vast amount of cost.”
Gurman: Anthropic demanded $1B+ in year one to power Siri
“Anthropic wanted multiples of billions. I believe starting in a billion in year one and doubling every year thereafter, at least for the next three years.”
Microsoft's $22B Army augmented reality contract vehicle has moved to Anduril
“Who would have bet that eight years later, that Microsoft contract, that twenty-two billion dollar contract vehicle for the architecture of the Army's AR future would move over to Anduril, that we would be launching something like Eagle Eye”
Salesforce Research invented AI prompt engineering, claims Marc Benioff
“We invented prompt engineering, the first prompt right here at Salesforce Research, commercialized by others, of course.”
Benioff claims Salesforce sold cybersecurity company Wiz to Google
“You know, we just sold a company to Google, which is Wiz, the security company.”
Dr. Drew: Microdosing and ayahuasca categorically cause severe psychiatric problems
“The AI world is populated by people that microdose on acid and do ayahuasca, which I tell you, it categorically causes severe psychiatric problems. I've seen it my entire career.”
Coogan: METR Study Found AI Coding Tools Made Developers 19% Slower
“The meter team did these evaluations where they ran a randomized control trial to see how much AI coding tools speed up open source developers, and what they found was that developers said that they expected products like cursor and windsurf to improve them by…”
Shkreli: Mike Bloomberg could be worth $400B-$500B via private equity
“He's taken the Bloomberg dividends and pumped it into a family office that basically Carlisle and all these guys, you know, the Warburg Pincus, all the private equity guys like KKR, They go to him first, and he tosses in, like, five hundred million in each of …”
DiRico: Rainmaker suspended Texas cloud seeding over two days before floods
“It was over two days prior that Rainmaker had suspended all of its cloud seeding operations in Texas, because one, our forecasters and our meteorologists saw that there was going to be this severe weather event, and we needn't operate to produce more water whe…”
Parekh Denies Subcontracting His Engineering Work to Junior Developers
“I wish I had the money and I wish that was true, but that is not true. Any of the founders that you know I worked with can watch with that. I have multiple locations like pair program with people, you know, I've written every single inch of the court.”
Huberman: NIH grants often fund already-completed research rather than bold science
“Much of the work that's funded by NIH Here's the dirty secret is already completed because they tend to fund things that are very certain to be completed. And so people put forward grants based on work and preliminary data showing I can do this and it's alread…”
Huberman: Hair loss drugs finasteride and dutasteride can cause permanent sexual dysfunction
“There's this whole thing about people taking finasteride and dutasteride men to keep their hair and getting permanent sexual dysfunction, right? Permanent sexual dysfunction. Some of them killing themselves as a consequence of this.”
Coogan: Surge AI generated over $1B in 2024, surpassing Scale AI
“The company generated more than one billion dollars in revenue last year. Surge has told employees, a previously reported figure that exceeds The eight hundred and seventy million dollars scale generated in revenue during the same time period.”
Hotz: Waymo robotaxis require approximately 1.2 remote human operators per car
“There's probably about, I would say there's 1.2 operators per car. But it's not, they don't have a steering wheel and pedals. It is an autonomous system that they're probably doing some higher level inputs on.”
Huberman: Most NIH-funded research is completed before grant approval
“Much of the work that's funded by NIH. Here's the dirty secret is already completed because they tend to fund things that are very certain to be completed. And so people put forward grants based on work and preliminary data showing I can do this. And it's alre…”
Asparouhov: Nvidia exported $20B in chips to Singapore resold to China
“The, you know, articles that came out yesterday talking about you know, NVIDIA basically getting, you know, sort of slapped on the wrist because they were like, we're exporting. I forget what the number was, but like, twenty billion dollars per year of chips t…”
Rubio's policies revoked 40 visas for biotech and CS PhDs at Northeastern
“40, 40 visas already. 40 people's lives Fucking ruined. Because Marco Rubio thinks that it's cool to pick fights with biotech and CS PhDs.”
Wischoff: LPs Say 80% of Fund II/III VCs Lack Portfolio Construction Models
“And so they were saying that like, you know, 80% of the meetings they take and these are folks on fund two and fund three, like clearly have never opened up a spreadsheet and like walk through portfolio construction.”
Soda is the top SNAP item; 60% buys ultra-processed food
“The number one item on food stamps is soda and more than 60% go to ultra processed food.”
Means: Democrats reflexively defend $10B SNAP soda subsidy against Trump
“You've had Democrats passionately arguing that we need to continue to have a ten billion dollar subsidy from the federal government to soda companies on snap just reflexively because, you know, the Trump administration happens to be talking about this.”
Hudson: Viral video allegations against Honey were essentially falsified
“Almost every version of that was essentially falsified. Like he'd say one thing and then the screen would show something completely different and non-incriminating.”
Power: The US no longer manufactures CNC machines domestically
“And we no longer make CNC machines in the US.”
Rauch: Cloudbleed leaked Uber auth tokens onto Google search
“You could, I don't know if the audience knows, but you could Google and literally find auth tokens of different companies like Uber indexed by Google.”
Frank: Apple launched iOS 14 privacy changes because Facebook refused revenue-sharing
“And that was the whole iOS, 14 breakdown, right? Is that Apple wanted to, they wanted revenue from Facebook in exchange for that data. And Facebook said, no, so they shut it down.”
NASA Originally Planned to Award Commercial Crew Exclusively to Boeing
“When commercial crew was originally getting started, the original plan by NASA was to only, you know, do it as a sole source of war, just a Boeing. SpaceX was seen as a bunch of, you know, cowboys who has that had no chance of actually being able to be trusted…”
Wilmore and Williams Confirmed They Were Denied Earlier ISS Return
“Butch and Sunni, like, basically confirmed these facts. Like, they basically made it clear, hey, we could have been brought back earlier, and we were, like, denied the opportunity to be brought back earlier.”
Steinman: CCP intelligence officials likely access DJI's US topography data
“Like if you don't think that senior CCP Intel officials have the ability to just walk into DJI headquarters and be like, give me everything you know about the topography of the United States. Like, you're smoking crack. They probably have access to it right no…”
Hays: Chinese E-Commerce Coordinates With TikTok to Manipulate US Consumers
“The Chinese companies coordinate to use TikTok as a channel to influence activity in the U S.”
Hays: Chinese labs have insiders at all major American AI labs
“Well, one thing, but I'm sure Chinese labs Have people inside at all the major American labs, and so anything that is being discovered at the American labs is being ported back.”
Hayes: China stalls foreign tech until domestic clones replicate their products
“They will let you come and they will let you build, but they will stall you. They'll kick you off banking rails. They'll do all this stuff to just make it so that you cannot succeed over there until a Chinese clone is able to copy and learn enough about your f…”
Hayes: Jeff Yass funneled millions of dollars into Vivek Ramaswamy's PAC
“Turns out Jeff Yass has funneled millions of dollars into Vivek's pack.”
Jordy Hays: Mayor Bass Stayed in Ghana After Wildfire Briefing
“She was briefed on the fires on Monday, decided to stay in Ghana. ... She was fully briefed.”
Coogan: Developers cannot train AI models on AMD due to software bugs
“Like you literally cannot train a model on their chips because it's so buggy and their software is so bad.”
Coogan: AI created one million US jobs versus 200,000 related layoffs
“Add it all up, and the economist estimates that AI so far has created around one million new jobs in America that easily exceeds the roughly 200,000 layoffs attributed to AI since mid-twenty-twenty-three.”
Brockman: 300 million people use ChatGPT for health queries weekly
“If you look at how many people use Chat for Health, three hundred million people every single week. With health queries, right?”
Torre: Steve Ballmer Faces Personal Civil Fraud Lawsuit by 11 Aspiration Investors
“So there are, there's also a civil suit happening in LA court against Steve Ballmer personally by 11 aspiration investors about fraud.”
Iovine: Generative AI music startups are training on 60M unlicensed tracks
“A lot of these companies that are creating AI music right now are doing so on unlicensed music en masse, like, sixty million tracks, or something like that.”
Huang: AI customers are fastest growing tech companies in history
“These are the fastest growing technology companies in history.”