The Ledger
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why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Schneider: Huawei stockpiled AI chips made at TSMC using shell company
“Huawei was able to manufacture an enormous amount of chips at TSMC by basically creating a shell company, TSMC you know, deciding to look the other way about some Chinese firm manufacturing all these AI chips, and then the US government catching them and be li…”
Coogan: China is building domestic equivalents to TSMC, Nvidia, and ASML
“China is actively working to catch up in chip fabrication with SMIC and SME. So they have their own TSMC, they have their own NVIDIA, and they have their own ASML.”
TSMC Pledges Additional $100 Billion Investment for US Manufacturing
“They're spending a lot more money, and pledged to invest an additional hundred billion in the U.S.”
Coogan: Moltbook AI agents make zero mention of TSMC or Dario Amodei
“There was also no there were no mentions of AI keywords. Like, if Skynet's really waking up, are they not thinking about Dario Amade? Yeah, so no mentions of Stratechery, no mentions of Dwarkesh, no mentions of TSMC, Abilene, Amadei, TPU.”
Coogan: Moltbook searches returned zero mentions of TSMC, Stratechery, or Amodei
“So no mentions of Stratechery, no mentions of Dwarkesh, no mentions of TSMC, Abilene, Amade, TPU.”
Coogan: Intel, TSMC, and Samsung invested $6.8B in ASML in 2012
“ASML, the Dutch company, they did what's called a customer co-investment program. Where Intel, TSMC, and Samsung pitched in 6.8 billion dollars across R&D funding and equity purchases in the company in order to help pull in order to help ASML. This is 2012.”