The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Hays: SpaceX and xAI in merger talks ahead of planned IPO
“So, they're in discussions ahead of a blockbuster IPO planned for later this year. The combination would bring Musk's rockets, Starlink satellites, and X social media platform, and the Grok AI chatbot under one roof.”
Jordi Hays Jan 30, 2026 ▶ 21:11 Big Tech Earnings, Elon’s SpaceX–xAI Merge, Genie 3 | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Starlink accounts for 50% to 80% of SpaceX's total revenue
“Starlink is the main revenue driver accounting for about 50 to 80% of the total revenue.”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 28:58 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX operates 9,500 satellites serving over 9M Starlink users
“The rapid launch of 9500 Starlink satellites since 2019 has made SpaceX the world's largest satellite operator with only not over nine million users of the broadband internet service”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 29:03 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Dixon: SpaceX uses stablecoins for cross-border treasury management on Starlink sales
“SpaceX has a program where they move, you know, they'll sell a Starlink in, I think it's like some, south of like Brazil or something, and then they'll immediately, you know, use stablecoins for so-called treasury management.”
Chris Dixon Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 3:02 Read Write Own - A16Z Partner Chris Dixon on TBPN
Assertion Supported
Asparouhov: China lacks commercial space revenue comparable to Starlink
“They have nothing equivalent to like Starlink generating billions of dollars, you know, of commercial, you know, sort of revenues that you can use as infrastructure to build off of.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 19:51 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
Assertion Supported
Holland: Starlink is gaining private jet market share faster than rivals
“Starlink is gobbling up market share, but as a percentage of the overall fleet installation base, it's still pretty small. I don't know exactly off the top of my head what the, what kind of the percentage penetration is, but it's growing faster than any of the…”
Preston Holland Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 8:40 Preston Holland talks Jets, Clients, and the Future of Private Aviation.
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX leveraged excess launch capacity to create Starlink
“SpaceX built basically more launch capacity than there was demand for, but then Because there was space on every SpaceX rocket, and they were able to build them so, so efficiently, so affordably, they were able to put up a massive constellation of internet con…”
John Coogan Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 12:32 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Starlink Deployed Over 650 Direct-to-Cell Satellites to Connect 12 Million Users
“Starlink has deployed more than 650 satellites dedicated to providing connections to cell phones as of the end of last year, connecting more than twelve million people, according to the company.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 23:01 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Starlink has over 9,000 satellites and 9 million customers
“Starlink has more than 9000 satellites in orbit and roughly nine million customers.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 10:30 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Holland: Starlink equipment installation costs $150k to $350k per jet
“It's anywhere from 150 to 350,000 dollars to install the equipment.”
Preston Holland Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 9:32 Preston Holland talks Jets, Clients, and the Future of Private Aviation.
Assertion Supported
Holland: Starlink charges $10k/month for aircraft flying over 300 mph
“So if you go under 300 miles an hour, it's like 200 bucks a month, and if you go over that, it's like 10,000 a month, so it's pretty significantly different.”
Preston Holland Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 9:53 Preston Holland talks Jets, Clients, and the Future of Private Aviation.
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Elon Musk Distributes Starlink Units in Disaster Areas
“Elon's giving out a bunch to people that are in affected disaster areas and hopefully keeping people Online and communicating.”
John Coogan Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 2:37 Can This Man Save Los Angeles? (Rick Caruso)
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