The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 108 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
McCormick: OpenAI signed a deal with Cerebras for fast inference
“OpenAI just did the Cerebrus deal, there's Claude Fast, and there's a whole bunch of different modes that will deliver faster inference”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 6:03 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI launched GPT-5.3 Codex and Frontier AI co-worker platform
“So GPT-Five-Point-Three Codex launched today, and there's a very, very cool There's a very, very cool update to or new product, Frontier, which is a product for building AI co-workers that I'm very excited to talk to Sam about because it feels like the first g…”
John Coogan Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 16:13 Anthropic's secret strategy behind its Super Bowl ad campaign
Assertion Supported
Coogan: 20 OpenAI Employees Left to Join Thinking Machines at Inception
“20 people from OpenAI left during the Thinking Machines Foundation.”
John Coogan Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 14:52 Kling AI reaches 12M MAU, China's aging tech worker crisis, drama at ThinkingMachine | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: GPT-5.2 Thinking Benchmark Leaps to 52.9% from 17.6%
“GPT 5.2 thinking is at 52.9%, up from 17.6%. That's a huge leap.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 22:46 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI's Sora Fell from #1 to #21 in App Store Charts
“Sora was, I think, number one in the charts at that point. It's now 21.”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 8:50 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI announces web browser named Atlas
“OpenAI dropped a trailer announcing the browser, which is called Atlas.”
Jordi Hays Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 0:21 OpenAI Drops A Web Browser? Our Reactions | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: 85% of ChatGPT's weekly active users are outside the US
“85% of their weekly actives are outside of the U.S.”
Jordi Hays Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 2:07:16 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Assertion Supported
Alex Dhillon: OpenAI is a customer of Outtake AI
“We've been lucky to work with phenomenal places like you know, OpenAI is one of our favorite customers really pushed us when you think about the kinds of cybersecurity threats that they might be dealing with.”
Alex Dhillon Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 1:57 This Company is Changing Cybersecurity | Alex Dhillon on TBPN April 10th
Assertion Supported
Knoop: OpenAI asked ARC Prize team to verify results on semi-private dataset
“Opening eye situation was a little different because they had reached out to us and said, Hey, we think we've got a really impressive result on the public eval set. And we'd like your help to verify. On the semi-private set, which is what we created that data …”
Mike Knoop Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 11:12 Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI Will Run Its Own Cluster Management Software for Stargate
“OpenAI will main control of operations and run almost all of its own cluster management software.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:31:57 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Prediction Held up
Coogan: AI apps will dynamically route user prompts across models automatically
“Very quickly, they're going to be able to put a router in front of that and dynamically decide, oh, this is a question that needs to go to oh, one. This is a question that needs to go to four. Four O or whatever, and all of that will become extracted.”
John Coogan Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 1:12:51 Fact-Checking The Information (ep10)
Assertion Supported
Isaac: OpenAI-Musk Trial Courtroom Limits Outlets to One Reserved Seat
“So there are reserved seats in the front row for press, but the issue is only one person per outlet gets it, and we are doing, like, live blogging for, like, the big moments, like, opening statements, and for Elon, and so myself and my colleague Cade came on t…”
Mike Isaac May 1, 2026 ▶ 1:04 Inside the OpenAI vs. Elon Musk Courtroom
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