why aren't all 108 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
McCormick: OpenAI signed a deal with Cerebras for fast inference
“OpenAI just did the Cerebrus deal, there's Claude Fast, and there's a whole bunch of different modes that will deliver faster inference”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI launched GPT-5.3 Codex and Frontier AI co-worker platform
“So GPT-Five-Point-Three Codex launched today, and there's a very, very cool There's a very, very cool update to or new product, Frontier, which is a product for building AI co-workers that I'm very excited to talk to Sam about because it feels like the first g…”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: 20 OpenAI Employees Left to Join Thinking Machines at Inception
“20 people from OpenAI left during the Thinking Machines Foundation.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: GPT-5.2 Thinking Benchmark Leaps to 52.9% from 17.6%
“GPT 5.2 thinking is at 52.9%, up from 17.6%. That's a huge leap.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI's Sora Fell from #1 to #21 in App Store Charts
“Sora was, I think, number one in the charts at that point. It's now 21.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI announces web browser named Atlas
“OpenAI dropped a trailer announcing the browser, which is called Atlas.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: 85% of ChatGPT's weekly active users are outside the US
“85% of their weekly actives are outside of the U.S.”
Assertion Supported
Alex Dhillon: OpenAI is a customer of Outtake AI
“We've been lucky to work with phenomenal places like you know, OpenAI is one of our favorite customers really pushed us when you think about the kinds of cybersecurity threats that they might be dealing with.”
Assertion Supported
Knoop: OpenAI asked ARC Prize team to verify results on semi-private dataset
“Opening eye situation was a little different because they had reached out to us and said, Hey, we think we've got a really impressive result on the public eval set. And we'd like your help to verify. On the semi-private set, which is what we created that data …”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI Will Run Its Own Cluster Management Software for Stargate
“OpenAI will main control of operations and run almost all of its own cluster management software.”
Prediction Held up
Coogan: AI apps will dynamically route user prompts across models automatically
“Very quickly, they're going to be able to put a router in front of that and dynamically decide, oh, this is a question that needs to go to oh, one. This is a question that needs to go to four. Four O or whatever, and all of that will become extracted.”
Assertion Supported
Isaac: OpenAI-Musk Trial Courtroom Limits Outlets to One Reserved Seat
“So there are reserved seats in the front row for press, but the issue is only one person per outlet gets it, and we are doing, like, live blogging for, like, the big moments, like, opening statements, and for Elon, and so myself and my colleague Cade came on t…”