The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
New Mexico judge orders Meta to pay over $900 million
“A New Mexico judge has ordered Meta to pay more than nine hundred million dollars And impose new restrictions on how minors in the state use Facebook and Instagram.”
John Coogan Aug 8, 2026 ▶ 14:59 AI-Designed Viruses, OpenAI’s First Device, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Assertion Contradicted
Srinivas: Instagram data shows user engagement drops when ads are removed
“Instagram has shown some stats where the engagement time on their platform reduces if they remove the ads because that's the level of personalization of the ads.”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 30:58 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Meta's Llama is the most-used LLM due to Instagram integration
“They're, because Llama is the number one LLM, not because people are hosting it independently. Although they are, plenty of companies are hosting Llama independently. They're the number one used LLM Because it's tucked into Instagram, and so they just have a t…”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:00:33 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Meta's presidential account unfollow issue was a server-side bug
“What happened was the unfollow demand was so high that the unfollow requests weren't going through on the server side. So then it looked like I unfollowed it. And then I was like, cool. I unfollowed it because it updated on the front end. It didn't update on t…”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 1:12:55 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Roblox Monetization Per Minute Is 5x Lower Than TikTok
“Their monetization on a per minute basis is, I think, like five times lower than other platforms, like if you comp it to TikTok or Instagram”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 9:06 The SaaSpocalypse Is Over
Assertion Supported
Truth Social Had 866K First-Week Installs Versus 100K for Instagram
“More than eight, 866,000 people installed it in the first week. Instagram, by comparison, only signed up about a 100,000 users in its launch week.”
John Coogan Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 52:57 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Assertion Supported
Depue: Meta dedicates a huge portion of its GPUs to Instagram recommendations
“Meta has a ton of GPUs. They just use for Instagram ads recommendations.”
Will Depue Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 3:08:31 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Assertion Supported
Temu and Shein's Share of Meta Ad Spend Has Already Peaked
“And so this quarter did turn out to be the peak of Timu and Sheen's share of Meta advertising around Under seven percent on Facebook and just under four percent on Instagram, and they're down to around four percent and two percent respectively now.”
John Coogan Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 18:20 The Truth About Chinese Manufacturing (De Minimis)
Assertion Supported
Instagram had roughly 860,000 daily active users when Facebook acquired it.
“So when Instagram was acquired estimated around 860,000. So less than a million. DAUs.”
Tyler Cosgrove Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 1:14:20 Weekly Recap: Tesla's Crazy Plan, USA vs. Google, Palantir CEO on Conspiracy Theories
Assertion Supported
Coogan: X categorizes itself as News to avoid competing with Instagram
“I'm actually surprised it is in productivity because X is famously in news, not in social networking. And so X will typically be at the top of the news subcategory because it would be much harder to compete in the product in the social networking category agai…”
John Coogan Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 29:07 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
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