why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Hays: China's MOFCOM Discussed Restricting AI Weights and Overseas Training Data
“Moffcom. Talk to AI companies including Alibaba, ByteDance, and Zipu on limiting the transfer of key data for the training of their models overseas, as well as allowing their model weights to be downloaded by foreign users.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: ByteDance securing 36,000 Nvidia Blackwell chips via Alawani Cloud
“ByteDance is working with a Southeast Asian company called Alawani Cloud on plans to use some 500 Blackwell computing systems totaling around 36,000 B-two hundred chips.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: TikTok US deal includes a perpetual revenue share to ByteDance
“There's a huge revenue share that's going back to ByteDance in perpetuity that is obviously reflected in the valuation.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to own 45% of TikTok US
“TikTok has signed a deal for the sale of the United States unit. The deal should close January 20 22nd. This is from Sarah Fisher, the media correspondent at Axios. Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX will collectively own 45% of the U.S. Entity, 30% We'll be held by…”
Assertion Supported
Hayes: Jeff Yass Holds Over $30B Stake in ByteDance
“His name is Jeff Yass, a major GOP donor and an investor in ByteDance, therefore TikTok. Presently sitting on a stake in the company worth over thirty billion dollars.”
Assertion Supported
ByteDance founder bans company employees from distilling US frontier AI models
“The founder of ByteDance apparently just banned his employees from distilling U.S. Frontier models”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Disney sends cease-and-desist letter to ByteDance over Seedance 2.0
“Disney, as expected, sent a cease and desist letter to ByteDance over C-dance two point O.”
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: ByteDance is on track for $50B in profit in 2025
“TikTok owner ByteDance is on track for fifty billion in profit in 2025.”
Assertion Supported
Moore: ByteDance's SeedDance video model is already outperforming Google's Veo 3
“The new Minimax model, the new ByteDance model, SeedDance, which is in the arena, already outperforming VO-three.”
Assertion Supported
Schneider: Kuaishou Pioneered Short Video Before ByteDance Overtook It
“I think I was at Kwai show which was actually the first company to do short video and got completely blown out of the water by dance.”
Assertion Supported
Srinivas: ByteDance centralizes infra, growth, and mobile dev across apps
“They do have their own growth teams, but that's one team by dance that takes our infrastructure for all their companies. One team that takes their growth for all their companies. One team that takes their front end mobile development for all their apps. And so…”