The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
NASA Originally Planned to Award Commercial Crew Exclusively to Boeing
“When commercial crew was originally getting started, the original plan by NASA was to only, you know, do it as a sole source of war, just a Boeing. SpaceX was seen as a bunch of, you know, cowboys who has that had no chance of actually being able to be trusted…”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 2:14 Delian Asparouhov on Stranded Astronauts, NASA in Crisis, and Corporate Espionage.
What-if
Asparouhov: Without SpaceX, the US would lack both ISS crew and cargo access
“If SpaceX does not exist right now, like the United States would neither have like Boeing able to take crew to the ISS, nor would it have Northrop Grumman able to take, you know, basically cargo to the ISS. And so it's like, You know without SpaceX, the astron…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 16:01 Delian Asparouhov on Defense Startups, NASA, Continuing Resolution and More
Insight
State ownership and poor incentives are slowing China's COMAC aircraft development
“My guess is that like the reason it has taken so long for COMAC to get its shit together and build competitors to Boeing and Airbus is Is probably the fact that it is state owned and there are just like poor incentives going on versus the sort of free market …”
Jordan Schneider Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 24:32 Is America Losing the Tech War with China? | Jordan Schnaider on TBPN
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