software

8 statements across 8 episodes · 3 bullish · 3 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Dec 31, 2024 by Jordi Hays · across every show →

Everything said about software, oldest first

Dec 31, 2024 positive
Opinion
Hayes: Strongest AI products combine traditional software with generative AI
“The end of software was, you know, a meme in many ways. A lot of the best AI products are software meets gen AI.”
Jordi Hays Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 1:06:40 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Insight
Crivello: AI agents must be benchmarked against humans, not software
“Agents, the comp is not other software, it's humans, right?”
Flo Crivello Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 17:34 What AI and LEGO Have in Common | Flo Crivello on TBPN April 7th
May 31, 2025 neutral
Insight
Armstrong: High software margins mask mistakes unlike capital-intensive biotech
“In software, our margins are high, and it kind of covers up mistakes that we make, and we actually had revenue relatively early in our journey, whereas, in, like, in biotech, you have to invest in it for 10 years to try to get your first dollar revenue sometim…”
Brian Armstrong May 31, 2025 ▶ 1:11:15 Weekend Special: Elon Recap, Balaji, Chris Dixon, Brian Armstrong, Crypto Day + Thiel Fellows
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman predicts ongoing volatility, sell-offs, and booms for SaaS and software
“There, I expect there will continue to be more. I expect there will be big booms in software. I think it's just gonna be volatile for a while as people figure out what this looks like”
Sam Altman Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 12:32 FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN
Feb 11, 2026 positive
Insight
Hays: Regulated businesses and physical-world industries remain safe from AI commoditization
“If AI commoditizes software, what's actually safe? Regulated, liability-bearing businesses. Someone has to be on the hook. Anything touching the physical world. Hardware, manufacturing, energy. That's a kind of Tesla narrative.”
Jordi Hays Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 20:43 Elon’s go-to banker leads SpaceX IPO, SaaSination, Bejing’s robot Boom | Diet TBPN
Feb 13, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Hays: Software Has Suffered Its Largest Non-Recessionary Drawdown in 30+ Years
“Software has undergone the largest non-recessionary, twelve-month drawdown in over 30 years. That's -34%. Wiping out two trillion of market cap from the peak. This is JP Morgan as of a couple days ago.”
Jordi Hays Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 4:15 Become Unsloppable: How to Survive the Great Software Collapse
Feb 14, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Hays: Software stocks saw record 34% non-recessionary drawdown wiping out $2T
“Software has undergone the largest non-recessionary, twelve-month drawdown in over 30 years. That's -34%. Wiping out two trillion of market cap from the peak.”
Jordi Hays Feb 14, 2026 ▶ 3:21 Becoming Unsloppable, Anthropic’s Series G, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
May 29, 2026 bearish
Disclosure
Gerstner: Software investing is currently in the 'too hard basket'
“For me, software today is generally in this, in the too hard basket.”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 12:42 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
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