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Sholto Douglas

4 statements across 1 episodes · 3 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jun 7, 2025 by Sholto Douglas · said 24 times in 12 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Sholto Douglas's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

brought up most by Jordi Hays (8), John Coogan (4), Dwarkesh Patel (1)

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001.342.5820252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 18 mentions in 8 episodes 2 per episode
2025 6 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode

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Everything said about Sholto Douglas, oldest first

Jun 7, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Douglas: 10x RL compute increases still deliver linear performance gains
“We're still seeing these huge gains where you go, you know, 10 X compute increase in RL. We still getting like very distinct linear gains for that.”
Sholto Douglas Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:30:12 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 7, 2025
Disclosure
Douglas: Frontier Labs Avoid RL Training Directly on ARC-AGI
“And I mean, I think if you are old on Arc AGI, then it would, you'd probably get superhuman at it pretty fast. But I think we're all trying not to RL on it so that it functions as like an interesting held out.”
Sholto Douglas Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:55:15 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Douglas: AI will use long-horizon reward signals within two years
“We've got very little rewards right now, but pretty quickly over the next year or two, you're going to start to see much more meaningful and long horizon rewards.”
Sholto Douglas Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:35:46 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
Jun 7, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Douglas: Generalist models will obsolete specialized fine-tuned models
“I really do think that similar to how we saw with large pre-trained models before with small fine-tuned models made it like, had gains over the sort of GPT-II era, but then were obsoleted by GPT-IV being generally good at everything. I think, to be honest, you…”
Sholto Douglas Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:34:23 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
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