Kalshi

“So Cal, she was spending a million dollars a day on Facebook. Just to get into the charts. Polymarket had a lot more organic adoption and organic media.”

“And now they're now the largest sports within two months or three months of launch. They're the single largest sports betting market in the United States, all legally.”

“It's our fourth fund on the heels of really successful bets on companies that we were the seed investor in, like Cursor, Kalshi, Blue Sky, and many more.”

“There's an update to the Elon Musk OpenAI lawsuit, which is sitting at about 60% chance that Elon wins on Kalshi right now on the prediction market.”

“So, maybe September, maybe October, but, ah, it's coming.”

“Zuckerberg directed Meta to build a prediction markets app, which is a wild shift. The experimental app internally called Arena would be independent of Facebook and Instagram. It could compete for attention with Polymarket and Kalshi, the biggest prediction ma…”

“Apparently, according to Bobby Allen over at NPR, meta considered buying Calci before it's developing its own prediction market app.”

“The fact that they didn't try and acquire Manifold, they tried to acquire Kalshi, sort of signals like, hey, they're probably going the financially incentivized route”