John Coogan
101 statements across 56 episodes · 50 bullish · 16 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Oct 14, 2024 by John Coogan · said 39 times in 25 episodes since 2025 · across every show →
On the record as a speaker too: John Coogan's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.
Mentions by year
brought up most by Jordi Hays (2)
tap a year for its mentions
2026 36 mentions in 22 episodes 2 per episode
- Bezos' Prometheus Raises $12B, America Inc. Moves to Texas, Trucking Rebounds | Diet TBPN
- The AI chip squeeze, Dirty Soda mania, OCC approves Palmer Luckey’s Erebor | Diet TBPN
- Oil Market Turbulence, Sundar's New Comp Package, TBPN Weather Report | Diet TBPN
- Astra Reactions, Jobs Print, Cybercab Launch | Diet TBPN
- Open Source vs. Closed Source, Memory Chips Eat AI Profits, Comcast Restructures | Diet TBPN
- Musk Loses OpenAI Case, Leopold’s 13F, Data Center Backlash | Diet TBPN
- The Remarkable AGI Predictions of Daniel Gross
- AI's Napster era, Alex Honnold, ChatGPT Ads | Diet TBPN
- 14 more episodes that year, every mention in 2026 →
2025 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
Everything said about John Coogan, oldest first
Oct 14, 2024 positive
Oct 24, 2024 positive
Coogan: Miami lags in engineering talent but excels for fundraising
“It still is just like a phenomenal place to go meet a lot of extremely wealthy people. Yeah. Yeah. Like it, I think everyone agrees that it is behind on, on hiring engineering talent, but in terms of just like lots of capital markets, powerful people having mo…”
Oct 24, 2024 positive
Coogan: Work-life balance content is the most effective viral rage bait
“Work-life balance always goes viral. So I don't know if this got dunked on, but like if you're rage baiting, like this is the best possible rage bait. If you're just trying to grow your account, like, because people will fight about this forever.”
Oct 24, 2024
Coogan: Media brands must have an enemy to build loyal allies
“You gotta have an enemy. If you don't have an enemy, you don't have an ally. The only reason people rally together. The enemy of my, yeah. No, seriously. You have to have an enemy. If you don't have an enemy, there's no reason for someone to be your ally.”
Nov 3, 2024 positive
Coogan: Correct contrarian founders must commit to their winning idea forever
“You don't want The Anderil guys being like, oh, I'm moving on to the next hot thing because I just care about doing contrarian stuff. It's like, it's okay that they've gotten, that they did the contrarian thing. They took the bet. They were correct. But now th…”
Nov 3, 2024 bullish
Coogan: Bullish on Alaska real estate becoming beachfront property from climate change
“I'm also, I'm always super bullish on Alaska. I got canceled on Alaska Twitter, because I was too bullish on Alaska. They were like, don't come up here, you tech idiot. Well, it was, my point was that you need to be bullish on Alaska, because if climate change…”
Nov 3, 2024 positive
Coogan: LLMs let software engineers use Python for lower-level robotics languages
“I do think, though, there should be more like, intellectual flexibility between the disciplines, especially with, like just how easy LLMs translating between different languages will be, so it's like, oh, yeah, there's some sort of, like, Little bit trickier, …”
Nov 6, 2024
Nov 6, 2024 positive
Dismissing Marketing Is an Engineering Mistake Because It Creates Real Value
“It's like the classic, like you know, programmer mistake of like marketing doesn't matter. In my opinion. So it's like, 90% is marketing. Let's talk about Nike. Is that a valuable company? Does that bring people joy? Is it valuable? It's 90% marketing, of cour…”
Nov 6, 2024 neutral
Nov 6, 2024 bullish
Nov 6, 2024 positive
Palantir Maintains Unmatched Talent Density for a 20-Year-Old Company
“Palantir, fantastic team. I, from some random content thing, I got a DM from a kid who just, like, graduated from some school and went to Palantir, and it was, like, still a cut above. It's a twenty-year-old company. Like, you just don't see that anywhere else…”
Nov 12, 2024 negative
Coogan: Aspiring founders should never take comfortable corporate tech jobs
“I used to tell people, like, if you want to just be a successful entrepreneur, just never take a job. Because, like, eventually you'll have to figure it out. And like, but as soon as you say, like, I'm taking a couple years off to go work at Google or somethin…”
Nov 14, 2024 bullish
Nov 14, 2024 bullish
Nov 14, 2024
Nov 14, 2024 positive
Nov 16, 2024 positive
Coogan: Venture capital requires risking a 5% chance the founder goes to jail
“Venture means, it needs to be, there's a 90%, there's a five percent chance this is a trillion dollar company, 90% chance it goes to zero, five percent chance the founder goes to jail, and I'm, Disgraced, and I never work again.”
Nov 19, 2024 positive
Nov 21, 2024 positive
Tech founders gain significant social and signaling alpha from luxury watches
“We need more technologists and founders who are watch guys. We've seen this happen with Zuck. He's rocking a fantastic FP Jorn. We know some capital allocators who were rocking Patex and Nautilus and Aquanauts at this point, but it's still under discussed and …”
Nov 21, 2024 positive
High-ego venture capitalists provide valuable negotiation practice for young startup founders
“You know, like jokes aside, there is something very valuable about being a young founder and interacting with an extremely high ego investor, because at least there is some alignment there most of the time. So you can kind of get some reps in, deal with some s…”
Nov 21, 2024 bullish
Tunneling unlocks highly valuable subterranean real estate beneath cities
“The very like fundamental, like economic physics, like the laws of physics around the project to me are just so obvious because it's like, you have a resource Which is essentially land underneath cities that's extremely valuable that no one has access to. So i…”
Nov 21, 2024 neutral
Nov 23, 2024 neutral
A Top Founder Will Eventually Make Pre-Pitch NDAs a Status Symbol
“I do think this is gonna be a pendulum swing thing, though, and eventually there's gonna be the Chad founder who forces everyone to sign NDAs and makes it very embarrassing to the firms and degrades them, and it becomes a status symbol.”
Nov 23, 2024 positive
Nov 23, 2024 negative
Nov 23, 2024 positive
Nov 30, 2024 negative
Dec 2, 2024 positive
Dec 2, 2024 positive
Dec 2, 2024 positive
Coogan: Founders must build deep personal ties with critical partners to avoid abrupt debanking
“If you have a critical partner like your bank or like your fulfillment center or some supplier, like you should be going out to dinner with them. You should be attending their, you know, kids wedding and going and really getting to know them because At the ver…”
Dec 2, 2024 positive
Dec 2, 2024 bullish
Dec 2, 2024
Dec 11, 2024
Coogan: Built a custom DIY sleep tracker using an accelerometer in 2013
“In 2013, I was so into the quantified self stuff. I basically invented my own eight sleep. I took an accelerometer Hooked it to an Arduino. Strapped it to the edge of my bed, and it could track the movement of the bed, and then I'd have that talk to the intern…”
Dec 11, 2024 positive
Dec 11, 2024
Coogan: Cutting government staff without deregulation will stall projects
“It just also needs to be paired with like deregulation and changing the actual laws, because if there's a law that says in order to build a road, you need a rubber stamp and they fire everyone who does the rubber stamps, well then it will still be illegal to b…”
Dec 12, 2024
Dec 17, 2024 bearish
Jan 7, 2025 positive
Jan 8, 2025 bullish
Jan 9, 2025 neutral
Jan 9, 2025 negative
Jan 9, 2025 positive
Coogan: Top Dealmakers Create Value by Playing Intermediary Arbitrage on Both Sides
“Because I think too many people think about the deal is like one way. Like I just need the tenant or I just need the bank. And really it's like, he is creating almost like an arbitrage. Like the bank wants to lend to a parking lot that has a relationship with …”
Jan 9, 2025 neutral
Jan 10, 2025 positive
Jan 10, 2025 positive
Jan 10, 2025 negative
Jan 10, 2025 positive
Jan 10, 2025
Coogan: Growth funds connect investors with de-risked founders unlike seed funds
“The seed fund, you're talking to a lot of founders. Some of them are going to be Like, very low quality just by nature. Some of them are going to be amazing, and you get in early, and that's cool, but like, if you really just want to hang out with really inter…”
Jan 16, 2025
Jan 16, 2025 positive
Jan 23, 2025 positive
Coogan: Online earning opportunities make Gen Z founders more business-savvy
“I think there's basically the opportunity for really young people to make more money. It's just bigger than ever, and what that means in terms of business savvy is specifically like, You get to a certain point, you're gonna have to learn about taxes, lawyers, …”
Feb 10, 2025 positive
Coogan: Founders should leave typos in ghostwritten posts to drive engagement
“So lesson for founders, if you're, if you have somebody on your board or your cap table, who's an interesting poster, who you want to feed a tweet to let them include a bullet point, maybe even include a little spelling mistake in there. So people are like, oh…”
Feb 19, 2025 bearish
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Jul 19, 2025 neutral
Aug 2, 2025 negative
Coogan: Returning Founders Must Avoid Publicly Disparaging Ousted CEOs
“If you are, especially if you're a founder and you're going back into a company where you've hired a CEO you should be, you should probably not be talking about that. See that CEO. Because if you come out and say they were not good and that's why I had to step…”
Aug 12, 2025 negative
Nov 13, 2025 neutral
Coogan: YC applications are intended to be unedited one-minute webcam videos
“You're supposed to just turn on the webcam and basically just talk for one minute. That's how you apply to YC. Yeah. You're supposed to just one shot at no editing because they don't want it to turn into, oh, to apply to YC, you spend two weeks doing an edited…”
Nov 15, 2025 neutral
Coogan: Hovering a two-ton car requires megawatt power and drains batteries in minutes
“The question is if you reverse the fans for lift you need a lot more rotor area and near megawatt power to hover a two ton sedan. Even if you could supply it, the battery would give only a few minutes before thermal or energy limits intervene.”
Nov 22, 2025 positive
Nov 22, 2025 bearish
Coogan: Every Financing Round Questions AI Investment Growth and Froth
“The elephant in the room is, is in every conversation, every, every financing round at this point is, is this deal predicated on A continuation of exponential growth in investment, in everything, like how much more, how risky is this relative to the amount of …”
Nov 25, 2025 positive
Nov 25, 2025 bullish
Dec 20, 2025
Feb 3, 2026 negative
Feb 3, 2026 negative
Coogan: Running Moltbook Locally Puts Private Data at High Risk
“I definitely do not recommend people run this stuff on their computers. I ran mine in an isolated computing environment, and even I was scared. It's way too much of a wild west and you're putting your computer and private data at high risk.”
Feb 3, 2026 positive
Coogan: AI vibe coding replaces weeks of open-source hacking for rapid builds
“It used to be that if you wanted to, For credit, you had to find some like open source projects, somebody who had spent like weeks rebuilding the functionality, and then you could do it, but you couldn't generate all the content. So like it would be really, re…”
Feb 10, 2026 positive
Feb 18, 2026 neutral
Coogan: Frontier AI will remain a long-term oligopoly of three labs
“And also it sort of explains why a lot of the VC firms are getting in multiple companies because they don't think it's going to be winner take all anymore. They think it's going to be much more oligopolistic for the longterm, and there will be competition betw…”
Feb 24, 2026 bullish
Coogan: Open-source SaaS alternatives have existed for decades without gaining adoption
“There's this whole idea that, like, you'll be able to build your own, like, CRM or your own ERP and vibe code it, and open source CRMs exist. There's one called Sweet CRM, there's Odo, there's ERP Next. Like, there are open source alternatives to Almost every …”
Feb 25, 2026 bearish
Feb 27, 2026 positive
Mar 7, 2026 bullish
Mar 14, 2026 bullish
Mar 19, 2026 neutral
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Apr 1, 2026 bullish
Apr 1, 2026 bullish
Apr 2, 2026 neutral
Apr 3, 2026 neutral
Apr 3, 2026 positive
Apr 6, 2026 neutral
Coogan: Influencers with medical credentials command much higher ad rates
“I know that a lot of companies that partner with doctors, even just to sell, like, skin care, supplements, sunscreens, really anything, the rate to advertise with an influencer who's a Who actually has some sort of medical credential is, like, way higher.”
Apr 23, 2026 neutral
Apr 28, 2026 neutral
Coogan: Next phase of Hollywood AI will be tool-driven VFX.
“And so, the business case for AI video is still a little bit more narrow, and I think it will be Tucked in the tool section. I was yeah, looking a lot at, like, the Aflac project that he sold to Netflix, and some of the background replacements, some of the VFX…”
May 15, 2026 positive
Jun 13, 2026 negative
Jul 7, 2026
Sep 9, 2026 bullish
Coogan: Productivity-enhancing tech almost always drives net hiring in competitive markets
“Knowing nothing else, this should be your prior, because this is how productivity in competitive markets almost always works. A new technology comes out, it supports investment, it enhances productivity, everyone hires to go after all the different, ah, battle…”
Sep 10, 2026
John Coogan: Concrete narratives communicate AI risk better than abstract percentages
“It's so easy to condense a PDOOM down to a single number, but I think people like stories. They want something that actually illustrates the chain of events that lead to the bad scenario, as opposed to these vague things where it's like, I have a lot of author…”
Sep 12, 2026 neutral
Coogan: AI clusters will be trackable from space via heat signatures
“Everyone is sort of with the consensus that it's going to be a big building with a lot of energy, big heat signature, definitely visible from space and pretty simple to track at least in the short term until people start building crazy underground facilities.”
Sep 12, 2026 negative
Coogan: AI doom concerns are largely contained to frontier labs
“The doom is very much contained to the frontier lab work. Everyone in the application layer who's applying the models, diffusing them, they're like, I just, I can't get this thing to work right. I gotta get forward deployed engineers to teach people how to use…”
Sep 12, 2026 neutral
Coogan: Debating exact p(doom) percentages and extinction mechanics is a sideshow
“The conversation definitely gets dragged down into PDOOM estimates and trying to narrow down exactly how a human extinction scenario plays out, and that can be that can, I feel like that's almost a sideshow. Because in a democratic society, in, amongst humanit…”
Sep 12, 2026 neutral
Coogan: Paul Christiano's portfolio bets on AI success, not doom
“This doesn't seem like a doom based bet. This seems like this bet also pays out in just like the good ending and like AI. Is real and delivers value. So your AI bets perform well, the market performs well, and money slides from US debt to data centers and AI b…”
Sep 12, 2026 negative
Coogan predicts pushback against AI regulation that favors top ten incumbents
“You're going to see a lot of pushback from people who are like the regulatory stuff is going to be like these 10 companies and I'm going to be number 11 and I'm basically getting the corporate death penalty then because I didn't make the cut to be one of the r…”
Sep 12, 2026 neutral
Sep 12, 2026 positive
Coogan: Panic over AI slowdowns is unconvincing given existing capability overhang
“For most of these slowdown proposals, I personally have a hard time blackpilling about them, in the sense of, like, if the, if all of this gets implemented, how frustrated will I be? Like, the models are good. I would like better models. I want safe models, bu…”