frontier models

also referred to as: frontier model

5 statements across 5 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Aug 16, 2025 by Everett Randle · across every show →

Everything said about frontier models, oldest first

Aug 16, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Randle: Frontier AI token price declines will slow down dramatically
“There's going to be a very, very large set of tasks that models do that are not on the frontier. And those are going to continue to get dirt cheap. I actually think that at the frontier, you're probably going to see continued price decreases on a per token bas…”
Everett Randle Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 1:47:24 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Oct 22, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Chesky: Average consumers cannot distinguish frontier AI from older models
“And the, and for most things, a consumer cannot discern the difference between a frontier model And a model three to six months behind it. Like if you need to have a travel concierge plan your trip, I think a model like three, four months behind, I don't think…”
Brian Chesky Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 23:47 Brian Chesky Live on TBPN
Mar 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: No frontier model has been trained on older than 5nm hardware
“No frontier model to date has been trained on hardware older than five nanometer.”
John Coogan Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 22:54 Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN
Jun 15, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: China's Distillation Edge Vanishes if US Labs Halt Open Releases
“They've gotten really, really good at that, but man, all that goes away if people stop releasing these models at the frontier, and I think mythos is a side of things to come there.”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 24:48 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Jul 30, 2026 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Broad model access is fundamentally at odds with preventing distillation
“The whole idea of, like, if the, if an amazing intelligence, an amazing model is made, should it be widely available? That's actually at odds with distillation, because you have to hunt those bad actors down, and you play this whack-a-mole.”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 20:09 U.S. Bans New Chinese Humanoids, Zuck’s Op-Ed, eBay's $56M Lawsuit | Diet TBPN
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