FDA

18 statements across 11 episodes · 7 bullish · 4 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Nov 14, 2024 by John Coogan · across every show →

Everything said about FDA, oldest first

Nov 14, 2024
Assertion Supported
Coogan: FDA rules prohibit combining caffeine and nicotine in gum
“Because of the way the FDA regulates these products, it's very hard for us. Like we can't put caffeine in our gum that has nicotine in it. You can't mix actives, but if you're more of like a health clinic, you could actually prescribe caffeine, nicotine differ…”
John Coogan Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 57:21 Low T levels at Y-Combinator (ep9)
Nov 19, 2024 bearish
Insight
Coogan: Compounded semaglutide revenue risks elimination once FDA drug shortages end
“The other issue with the compounding just from a business perspective is that I think that you're only allowed to do it from an FDA perspective when it's on shortage. And so you can build up this revenue stream and you can get subscribers, but then it could ge…”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2024 ▶ 1:12:45 Who's Getting Rich Off Ozempic? (e12)
Mar 24, 2025 positive
Opinion
Adler: Partnering with DoD enables faster clearance than FDA breakthrough pathways
“And notably, like big companies right now with big startups like Neuralink and Synchron, like these big brain computer interface companies, you know, which have breakthrough designation, which was, you know, prized as like the fastest, most expedited pathway i…”
Jake Adler Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 8:29 Jake Adler on Raising $3M to "Make Soldiers Heal Faster and Think Smarter".
May 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
New FDA Guidance Reduces Animal Testing Requirements for Antibody Biologics
“So they just recently released the guidance that certain biologic drugs, antibodies don't have to go after as much animal testing. You can leverage a lot of human clinical trials, which is like almost incorporating common sense, right?”
Jennifer Lynn May 28, 2025 ▶ 1:20:37 We Interviewed the New Thiel Fellow Dropouts
Jun 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
MDMA will ultimately receive FDA approval for PTSD
“So I think ultimately it will be approved.”
Andrew Huberman Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 1:29:49 Weekly Recap: Apple WWDC, Andrew Huberman, YC Demo Day, Intern Phone Assembly, $14B Meta x Scale
Jun 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Huberman: MDMA will ultimately receive FDA approval for PTSD
“So I think ultimately it will be approved.”
Andrew Huberman Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 18:38 Andrew Huberman on the Uncertain Future of Science
Jul 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
FDA import restrictions on overseas manufacturing bankrupted early e-cigarette maker NJOY
“The FDA is able to put an import restriction on the company, so they're making the product, I believe, in China, probably overseas somewhere, because it's electronics, it's equipment. They bring it in at the ports, and the FDA says, hey, while we sort out this…”
John Coogan Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 14:34 E-Cigarettes: Now FDA-Approved?
Jul 18, 2025
Assertion Supported
FDA created regulatory grace period for nicotine products launched before August 2016
“Going forward, new products that contain nicotine, that contain tobacco, We want to review it before it hits the market, but we're also going to create a grace period for stuff that was launched before 2016. Anything launched before August eight, 20 16. You ca…”
John Coogan Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 18:11 E-Cigarettes: Now FDA-Approved?
Jul 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Investor bought NJOY out of bankruptcy, secured FDA approval, sold to Altria
“Later, a hedge fund guy actually buys the company out of bankruptcy, turns it around, gets it FDA approved, and sells it to Altria for like a couple hundred million dollars, or maybe actually a couple billion dollars, I think.”
John Coogan Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 14:59 E-Cigarettes: Now FDA-Approved?
Jul 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Pax and Juul split companies due to divergent regulatory and commercial paths
“Then they wind up splitting the company once both products are kind of taking off, but they're on very, very different trajectories. And it's very clear that They will be under very different regulatory regimes”
John Coogan Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 6:01 E-Cigarettes: Now FDA-Approved?
Jul 18, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Nicotine startup Lucy spent millions and a decade awaiting FDA approval
“You could spend millions of dollars and wait a decade, which is exactly what we did. But we were able to actually grow the brand and sell the product and like set up operations and iron out things and iterate a little bit during that time, fortunately.”
John Coogan Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 21:09 E-Cigarettes: Now FDA-Approved?
Jul 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
FDA authorized Juul via Marketing Granted Orders after net positive health review
“The FDA has issued marketing granted orders. These are MGOs. We'll get into this, but it's, like, slightly different than, like, FDA approval for a drug for the Juul system, recognizing that these products, as appropriate for the protection of public health, t…”
John Coogan Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 0:24 E-Cigarettes: Now FDA-Approved?
Feb 12, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson predicts Blueprint's platform will exceed the FDA in value
“I think that we will exceed them in value in many core areas. Because they, you, they can take, you know, well-structured, well-funded clinical trials. But then other things like peptides that are very promising. They're not going to have the clinical work.”
Bryan Johnson Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 22:18 $1M a Year to Live Forever? Bryan Johnson Explains
Mar 23, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Marchione: FDA will soon make BPC-157 legal to compound
“I believe the FDA will make it legal to compound soon.”
Max Marchione Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 19:21 The Great Peptide Debate with Martin Shkreli & Max Marchione
Mar 23, 2026 positive
Opinion
Shkreli: FDA system works and alternate regulatory pathways should not exist
“I think you can shut it down, and then I also think that we have a perfectly great system, which is the normal regulatory body we've had for 60 years. And creating, like I said, a new special ed version of it, For drugs that couldn't quite get on the school bu…”
Martin Shkreli Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 28:24 The Great Peptide Debate with Martin Shkreli & Max Marchione
Mar 23, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Shkreli: Unapproved retatrutide over Ozempic is the worst risk-reward decision
“Taking Eretta Trutide, which is just sort of a GLP plus, if you will instead of just waiting it for it to be FDA approved, or like, Using Ozempic. I think this is like the worst risk reward decision you could possibly make.”
Martin Shkreli Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 6:55 The Great Peptide Debate with Martin Shkreli & Max Marchione
Apr 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Lucy's nicotine gum is regulated as tobacco, not pharmaceuticals
“Lucy cannot make quit claims about the nicotine gum product. So even though most people think, oh, this is like Nicorette, it's actually regulated in a different category. It's regulated as tobacco product, not as a pharmaceutical product.”
John Coogan Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 7:42 The Truth Behind the “Solo Founder Billion Dollar Company”
Apr 6, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: MedVi received an FDA warning letter for misbranding
“So Medvi received an FDA warning letter just two months ago for misbranding violations.”
John Coogan Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 7:39 The $1B One-Person Company, China’s Pork Crisis, America’s New Weapon | Diet TBPN
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