ARC-AGI

includes ARC AGI 2

4 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Dec 31, 2024 by John Coogan · said 116 times in 28 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Mike Knoop (26), John Coogan (26), Jordi Hays (3), Will Brown (1)

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2026 31 mentions in 10 episodes 3 per episode
2025 80 mentions in 16 episodes 5 per episode
2024 5 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode

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Everything said about ARC-AGI, oldest first

Dec 31, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI o3 high-compute configuration costs $2,000 per solve
“O-three is a reasoning model. The high version costs 2000 dollars per solve.”
John Coogan Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 1:03:39 Year of Tech in Review (ep25)
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI's o3 High-Compute Mode Spent $3,000 to Solve a Benchmark Task
“Oh three, which isn't out yet, but is even more advanced in terms of reasoning. They have a high compute model. That spends almost 3000 dollars per task. And it just thinks for hours and hours and hours basically, and it was able to break arc that that AI, AGI…”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 19:38 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Apr 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Knoop: Language models operate by memorization rather than solving novel patterns
“Language models. Generally working like a memorization style regime where they're right. Learning lots of data. They're able to apply it to very similar types of patterns that they've seen before, but not novel patterns. That's what RKGI shows.”
Mike Knoop Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 17:32 Mike Knoop (Arc Prize) on Why Scaling AI Won’t Get Us to AGI
Jun 7, 2025
Disclosure
Douglas: Frontier Labs Avoid RL Training Directly on ARC-AGI
“And I mean, I think if you are old on Arc AGI, then it would, you'd probably get superhuman at it pretty fast. But I think we're all trying not to RL on it so that it functions as like an interesting held out.”
Sholto Douglas Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 1:55:15 Weekly Recap - Elon Vs Trump, Ukraine's Drone Attack, Cluely Update & OpenAI CRO
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