Amazon

includes Amazon Web Services, Amazon Alexa, Amazon Kindle, Amazon Prime, Amazon Basics, Amazon Haul, Amazon Robotics, Amazon S3, Amazon Mechanical Turk, Amazon Bedrock, Amazon EC2, Amazon Echo and 6 more

42 statements across 27 episodes · 17 bullish · 14 bearish · 17 people on the record · first statement Jan 13, 2025 by John Coogan · said 952 times in 226 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by John Coogan (233), Jordi Hays (66), Teddy Warner (13), Jordy (Geordie) (11), Mark Cuban (8), Brad Gerstner (8), Tyler Denk (7), Tae Kim (7)

tap a year for its mentions
0030075600150202420252026episodesmentions
075150202420252026episodes it came up in
002.5755150202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 379 mentions in 106 episodes 4 per episode
2025 530 mentions in 106 episodes 5 per episode
2024 43 mentions in 14 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Amazon, oldest first

Jan 13, 2025 bullish
Insight
Coogan: True informational alpha comes from rare, non-digitized, out-of-print books
“The biggest bull signal is when you're searching someone on the Wikipedia page, you go to the sources, it's some ISBN number, you go to Amazon, 2000 dollar book won't ship to you in a month because it's out of stock. You got to find some library that has it in…”
John Coogan Jan 13, 2025 ▶ 1:19:18 Insurance Companies Explained (How they actually work)
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Self-Hosting DeepSeek Carries Far Less Security Risk Than TikTok
“I just, this is a different scenario because if you just download the Git repo for deep seek and you host it on Amazon or, you know, Google cloud or whatever, like there's no data feeding back. Like you're not helping them improve the model at all. Like that's…”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 48:14 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Feb 5, 2025 negative
Opinion
Amazon Launched Haul Solely to Exploit the De Minimis Loophole
“The only reason that Amazon would do this is because they're interested in leveraging the loophole.”
John Coogan Feb 5, 2025 ▶ 14:00 The Truth About Chinese Manufacturing (De Minimis)
Feb 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jordy: Jeff Bezos returning to Amazon would cause a biblical stock pop
“If Bezos did join the company, the pop would be biblical.”
Jordy (Geordie) Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 42:20 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 10, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Jordy: Faster software creation threatens Salesforce more than it does Amazon
“Software development timelines are changing so dramatically. It's becoming so much faster and cheaper to make software that threatens a company like Salesforce in a way that Amazon, which is Selling physical products, selling content, selling, you know, they h…”
Jordy (Geordie) Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 50:21 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 10, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Jordy: Amazon's third-party marketplace has become entirely pay-to-play for sellers
“Amazon has gotten optimized and optimized and optimized, and they've just kept eating into the profits of the sellers on their platform. It's basically completely pay to play now. It's really hard to drive sales without spending a huge amount of your sales of …”
Jordy (Geordie) Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 21:58 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 10, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Amazon is spending $100 billion on CapEx in 2025
“They're spending a hundred billion dollars in capex this year as part of a push to build generative AI services.”
John Coogan Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 36:04 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 10, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Amazon's AI narrative is weaker because Jeff Bezos stepped down
“Whereas Amazon, they have deals with Anthropic. They host a lot of stuff. Obviously there's Alexa and there's AI in their products, but it's not as strong of a narrative. And a lot of it comes from the fact that they're no, they're kind of no longer in founder…”
John Coogan Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 20:06 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 10, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Jordy: Anthropic's AI safety focus was the wrong short-term bet
“Anthropic made a clear bet around AI safety and a lot of other firms ignored that deep seek one of them. And so that seems to be in the short term, the wrong bet to make.”
Jordy (Geordie) Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 45:07 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 10, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Jordy: Amazon allowed a carbon copy of portfolio company LMNT to sell
“One of my portfolio companies, Element, LMNT, you know, had a copycat product on the platform that was the exact packaging, different name, but a carbon copy of the product, and Amazon let it run up to, you know, thousands and thousands and thousands of sales.”
Jordy (Geordie) Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 24:04 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 12, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Hays: PillPack Founder TJ Parker Sold Company to Amazon for $1B
“TJ is the founder of pill pack, sold it to Amazon for a billion dollars, built a health tech company the hard way, like being very, very, very diligent about following the rules and working well with the regulators.”
Jordi Hays Feb 12, 2025 ▶ 2:15 REVIEW: HIMS Super Bowl Ad (Controversy)
Mar 12, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Lessin: MrBeast spent more on his Amazon show than his $100M deal
“Like, you know, the, you know, everyone's excited that he gets a hundred million dollar Amazon contract, but then he spends more than that on the show, right?”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 28:21 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
Apr 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Consumer-Aligned AI Search Threatens Google and Amazon's Ad Model
“It's obviously a threat to Google and to Amazon and other marketplaces when I'm going there and I'm saying, this is what I want to buy. Like help me buy the best version. And it can be more aligned with my interests than an ads based business model.”
Jordi Hays Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 7:09 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McLaughlin: AI product selection tools will outsmart human buyers within two years
“I do think there's gonna be this, like, really, really cool world that we move into the next, like, year or two here, whereas our tools for selecting, like, products, like, become, like, super, super smart, right? Like, way smarter than me. Like, they're gonna…”
Aidan McLaughlin Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 7:36 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 25, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Columbia suspended Roy Lee for a year after his Amazon interview stunt
“Amazon reported me to Columbia. Amazon is mad. Columbia is mad. And this ends up being a spat that I sort of publicize on my Twitter. It becomes this big spectacle and I eventually get kicked out of Columbia or suspended for a year. And I'm blacklisted from mo…”
Roy Lee Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 0:31 Cluely: the AI App to Cheat On Everything - Roy Lee
Apr 25, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Roy Lee: Amazon interview stunt was aimed at viral distribution, not employment
“I was never intending on taking the job at Amazon. The impetus for everything was I did a bunch of legal questions thinking that I would work at a big tech company one day. I really hated it. And at a certain point I kind of just thought I really want to build…”
Roy Lee Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 0:58 Cluely: the AI App to Cheat On Everything - Roy Lee
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kovacevich: FTC and DOJ divided Big Tech targets rather than subject matter
“What happened was about six years ago, the FTC and the Justice Department, they share responsibility for antitrust. They got together and they said, they basically struck a deal and they said, okay, FTC, you get Meta and Amazon and DOJ, you get Google and Appl…”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 13:21 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
May 28, 2025 neutral
Insight
Industrial Robots Usually Fail Due to Trivial Physical Blockages
“Robots work great in industry. 99% of the time they work wonderfully. Like if you think about an Amazon warehouse, there's a bunch of little Roombas that roll around and move the carts and stuff. And you know, on occasion, probably one percent of the time, the…”
Teddy Warner May 28, 2025 ▶ 1:27:37 We Interviewed the New Thiel Fellow Dropouts
May 31, 2025 neutral
Insight
Warner: Industrial robots almost never fail for technically complex reasons
“Robots work great in industry. 99% of the time they work wonderfully. Like if you think about an Amazon warehouse, there's a bunch of little Roombas that roll around and move the carts and stuff. And you know, on occasion, probably one percent of the time thes…”
Teddy Warner May 31, 2025 ▶ 2:17:54 Weekend Special: Elon Recap, Balaji, Chris Dixon, Brian Armstrong, Crypto Day + Thiel Fellows
Jul 26, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Amazon acquired Bee, an always-listening smart bracelet maker
“Amazon acquired a company it got announced this week called B, which is a bracelet after, after all, everything they faced with Siri, Siri's listening to me. The B band just listens to you all day long. Every single conversation. Everything.”
Jordi Hays Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 2:10:11 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Aug 9, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: Amazon lags in AI partnerships and frontier model labs
“Amazon's just not there either on the partnership side or on the core like training frontier lab side.”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 12:59 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
Coogan: Anthropic's next major cluster will run on Amazon
“I believe Anthropic is pretty tightly hitched to Amazon, and I think the next big cluster from Anthropic will be powered by Amazon for the most part”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 10:09 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Sep 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Ferrara: Drake partnered with Amazon to distribute all of his merchandise
“He's, this is his actual plot to take over Amazon music as a distribution platform, but he's working with Amazon to sell all of his merch and all of his goods through their storefront and basically facilitate all their distribute distribution through there.”
John Ferrara Sep 13, 2025 ▶ 36:42 Weekly Recap: Apple Debuts iPhone 17, Einstein of Wall Street, YC Demo Day, Declining AI Adoption
Oct 21, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cohen: Copying Chewy's expanded catalog failed and cost GameStop shareholders heavily
“I hired a bunch of fancy people from both Amazon and Chewy, and we expanded the catalog, and we added a bunch of product, and most of that product didn't sell, and we ended up marking it down and taking a big hit, and it cost shareholders a lot of money, becau…”
Ryan Cohen Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 9:47 GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen live on TBPN
Oct 21, 2025 positive
Insight
Cohen: Vertical category focus beats broad tech giants without first-mover advantage
“You don't necessarily have to be first to the game in order to be successful. Amazon was first to the game, but we focused on the category, and we were successful, and so it's kind of what's interesting in technology in general, is like, you have these technol…”
Ryan Cohen Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 20:32 GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen live on TBPN
Nov 22, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Amazon has not signed an agentic commerce deal with OpenAI
“Amazon has not done a deal yet with OpenAI for the agentic commerce thing.”
John Coogan Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 10:21 The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN
Jan 16, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Thinking Machines could exit for $30B to $60B within two years
“Thinking machines could probably exit somewhere at between 30 and 60 today. Who has that money? I don't know. Maybe NVIDIA buys them or something. At least at some point over the next two years. I think the most likely acquirers would probably be Microsoft, Ap…”
Tyler Denk Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 14:17 Big Tech turns to mining, Thinking Machines loses top executives, NYC Sauna Wars heat up | Diet TBPN
Jan 16, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Amazon buys the first new American-produced copper in over a decade
“Amazon's buying the first new copper produced in America in over a decade.”
Tyler Denk Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 2:07 Big Tech turns to mining, Thinking Machines loses top executives, NYC Sauna Wars heat up | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Anthropic cloud inference costs ran 23% over projections
“Amir says that Anthropix inference costs on Google and Amazon servers were 23% higher than the company, ah, projected.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 20:58 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Feb 6, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Laughlin: Amazon's gigawatt project is on track while competitors face delays
“Every other gigawatt project is essentially delayed and they're going to be like ish on time.”
Doug O'Laughlin Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 24:03 FULL INTERVIEW: Doug O'Laughlin Thinks Microsoft is OUT of the AI Race
Feb 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Laughlin: Amazon will run out of Trainium and spend heavily on Nvidia
“I think they're gonna run out of Tranium, and the answer is, like, what's the biggest amount of supply chain that's, like, locked up? It's NVIDIA.”
Doug O'Laughlin Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 25:15 FULL INTERVIEW: Doug O'Laughlin Thinks Microsoft is OUT of the AI Race
Feb 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
O'Laughlin: Amazon will spend $200B in CapEx by year-end
“I think at the end of the year, they're gonna be like, yeah, they spent two hundred billion.”
Doug O'Laughlin Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 23:34 FULL INTERVIEW: Doug O'Laughlin Thinks Microsoft is OUT of the AI Race
Mar 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Hays: OpenAI raised $110B round from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank
“OpenAI raised a hundred and ten billion dollar round of funding from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank.”
Jordi Hays Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 28:56 Anthropic v. DoW, Paramount wins WB, OpenAI raises $100B | Diet TBPN
Mar 19, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Foreign Sellers Have Structural Cost and IP Advantages on Amazon
“Because any, whether it's China or Vietnam, any country, if you're outside the United States, you immediately have a cost advantage, not the manufacturing, but just from an IP, from a, and from an Amazon cost perspective.”
Mark Cuban Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 29:37 FULL INTERVIEW: Mark Cuban on Robots, AI, Self-Driving, and Advice to Students
Mar 27, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Jalali: SALT & STONE is the best-selling deodorant brand on Amazon
“We're the best selling deodorant on Amazon.”
Nima Jalali Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 16:40 How I Built and Sold SALT & STONE
Mar 30, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Kim: Nvidia and hyperscalers won't switch to Arm's standalone server CPUs
“I don't really expect the major hyperscalers like Amazon to switch to ARM's, you know product offering. They have their own. And same with NVIDIA. They have their own ARM CPU that they're gonna incorporate and sell.”
Tae Kim Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 13:52 FULL INTERVIEW: Why I Think Nvidia Is Perfectly Positioned In The AI Race
Apr 16, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Apple Was the Driving Force Behind Amazon's Globalstar Acquisition
“Apple clearly agrees, because they are not only declining to work with SpaceX, I actually think they were the driving force in this global star deal.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 21:49 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
Apr 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Amazon Acquires Satellite Operator Globalstar in $10.8 Billion Deal
“Amazon's buying satellite operator Global Star in a deal that The company's estimated at about 10.8 billion seeking to build a business connecting consumer smartphones with satellite internet connections.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 20:02 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
Apr 16, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Amazon Agrees to Power iPhone and Apple Watch Satellite Services
“Amazon said Tuesday that it agreed to a deal with Apple to power satellite services for its iPhone and Apple Watch and to work together on future satellite services using LEO's growing network.”
John Coogan Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 23:37 Allbirds’ AI Pivot, Snap Cuts 16% of Workforce, Amazon’s GlobalStar Deal | Diet TBPN
May 5, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Midha: Amazon's collectibles business has been flat for six years
“Amazon's used and collect, collectibles business has been flat for six years. They tried renewed, they tried collectibles, they tried trade-in, none of it's still.”
Anjney Midha May 5, 2026 ▶ 3:57 FULL INTERVIEW: Anjney Midha on Fixing AI’s Biggest Bottleneck
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Google, Amazon, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all token constrained
“Google was token constrained. They said if we had more tokens, we'd be able to generate more revenue. Same for Amazon, same for Microsoft, same from OpenAI, same from Anthropic.”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 19:51 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
Jun 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: The Information Reported Amazon's Jassy Raised AI Jailbreak Concerns With White House
“Then the information reported that Andy Jassy at Amazon had raised concerns with the senior administration officials about jailbreaking. The risk of jailbreaking fable and getting access to all of Anthropic.”
John Coogan Jun 16, 2026 ▶ 7:21 Anthropic Drama, Meta Now Tokenminning, Fox's $22B Roku Deal | Diet TBPN
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