why aren't all 36 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roberto Nixon: No Wealth Creation Event Will Ever Match AI, Except Perhaps Robotics
“There will never be another wealth creation event like AI. I think maybe personal humanoid robotics, but what an amazing, amazing time to be alive.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Open source will prevail as AI's winning foundational layer
“I'm a big believer that open source will prevail and that'll be sort of like the winning Foundational layer that AI is going to be built on top of”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Prompt engineering is a fleeting trend, soon comparable to Googling
“I actually, I'm not as bullish on the idea of a prompt engineer as most, right? I think it'll be like knowing how to use Google or Excel. It's just like a particular skill that'll be helpful. But no, I think the pro I mean, like one of our main ambitions too, …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Standalone AI tools face major threat from incumbent software integration
“I think the most fierce competition are going to be the incumbents, you know, like a lot of this technology is going to be built into the products that we know and love and use today. Right. So eventually like you know, even, even mid journey, I think they're …”
Insight
Nickson: Audiences will crave human creators over purely AI-generated entertainment
“So I think the same thing is going to happen where like, there's going to be these incredible AI generated movies and scripts, but I just don't think there's going to be an as large an appetite as people think of for audiences to consume this. Cause like what …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nixon: AI will fully commoditize basic informative video content
“What I try not to do is an information dump because I think that's going to be heavily commoditized by AI. There's going to be no point in having a human do it.”
Insight
Nixon: Expensive studio equipment is unnecessary for viral video performance
“You don't need anything. Cause when I go to hotel rooms and I just do it on my iPhone, it looks the same. It performs the same. It does not matter.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nixon: Sora 2 Will Create Multi-Millionaires in the Coming Weeks
“There's going to be millionaires, many, many millionaires minted, multi-millionaires over the next few weeks with messing around with Sora too.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roberto Nixon: Builders Can Create 7-Figure Internet Businesses in 24 Months
“I truly believe that if you're listening today, you can productize yourself, just literally take your expertise, your knowledge, your interests, your passions, what, you know, what you're good at, what you love, and you can package that up into a really, reall…”
Opinion
Nickson: Building on ChatGPT carries excessive platform risk
“ChatGPT, I feel like every update, it gets neutered a little more and more and more and more. So like, as a builder, I feel a little bit, I don't know if I'd want to build on ChatGPT, right? They have too much leverage. It's too much platform risk.”
Opinion
Nickson: No good GPU cloud services currently exist on the market
“There is, for some reason, there's no good GPU cloud service out there right now. So if anybody wants to build that, that's a great business to get into.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Users will soon generate custom software, games, and entertainment on demand
“What I think is going to happen, and I made a video about it today, actually, I just posted it, but like you are going to be able to generate anything that you want, enter any entertainment medium that you want. Curated to your taste. So like, yeah, maybe, may…”
Opinion
Roberto Nixon: Short-form video is the top of funnel for all attention
“First of all, like I think short form video is the bread and butter of the internet. It is the top of funnel for all attention.”
Insight
Nixon: Short-form video scripts must introduce conflict by the second line
“Like the second line always has to bring in some sort of conflict.”
Opinion
Nixon: OpenAI AgentKit works like n8n but is much easier to use
“It works just like N-A-N, but it's much easier to use.”
Disclosure
Nixon: AI-generated visuals have entirely replaced stock footage in my workflow
“I never use, like, stock footage anymore. Everything's generated for, like, perfect to be in perfect context of what I'm saying, and just to be a little bit more visual compelling.”
Opinion
Nixon: ChatGPT Image Generation Is Absurdly Slow Compared to Nano Banana
“And so this is why I love Nano Banana Man. It's so quick. Like I used to use chat for image generation. It's just so absurdly slow.”
Insight
Nixon: Single-word video captions psych-hack viewer attention like a slot machine
“I go single line because I like my captions, like appearing on screen, almost like one word at a time. I just think it's like a slot machine. It just sort of Psyche hacks of the brain. Kind of like how it works.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nixon: Mobile games sometimes employ more psychologists than designers
“A lot of these casinos or like a lot of these micro games, like the Clash Royale games of the world, people don't realize they actually have more
like data engineers and like psychologists on staff sometimes and like engineers and designers, because that is …”
Insight
Nixon: Creators can match high-end studio visuals for under $5,000
“Because I think you can build a studio just like this for the same visuals as me for under Five K probably.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Personal content inbound is 100x higher than faceless media brands
“My inbound for my personal content has been a hundred x, even, even metaverse to the bull run, a hundred x what that inbound looked like”
Insight
Nickson: Audiences prefer information filtered through individuals over faceless media
“People buy from people, people want their information filtered through people, not these faceless media brands or media giants.”
Disclosure
Nickson: Posting gimmicks on company accounts protects personal brand equity
“Sometimes it's a little bit gimmicky, you know, like here are 10 apps that you can use to harness the power of generative AI to You know, boost your business or whatever. And I'm like, I don't know if I want to post that as a little gimmicky, but I got metaver…”
Insight
Nickson: Driving commerce is the best indicator of audience quality
“To me, like the sort of the best indicator of a quality audience is how much commerce you're able to push, right? Because ultimately, you know, people don't like to admit it, but like social media really is kind of a status game. And at the bottom of it, like …”
Insight
Roberto Nickson: Top Content Creators Inevitably Leave Agencies to Build Their Own Brands
“If I find somebody who's a killer, who knows how to do it super, super well, why would they come work for me? They're just going to do it on their own for their own, you know, their own faceless media brands or their own products or their own, whatever it is. …”
Disclosure
Roberto Nickson: I Use Media Brands Purely to Drive Distribution for Software Products
“I think for me, like, honestly, Greg, like I like media, I like creating content, but I don't necessarily like the media business. I really love building product, right? Like that's what I've been doing over the last 10 years. And so that, that's kind of reall…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nickson: Generative AI apps will suffer high churn without daily utility
“I think there's going to be a lot of churn on a lot of these products because it's really cool. It's fascinating technology, but some of them are not just so helpful in the day to day, right?”
Prediction Held up
Nickson predicts fully AI-generated streamers and influencers by late 2023
“Obviously by the end of the year, we're going to have fully AI generated streamers, influencers, et cetera.”
Assertion Supported
Nixon: OpenAI AgentKit lets users build agentic workflows for free without code
“OpenAI just launched Agent Kit, and I think it's important to understand what it is because it lets anybody build agentic workflows without writing code for free.”
Insight
Nixon: Overlapping adjacent audio across cuts creates much punchier video pacing
“What I do is I cut some of the video track, I cut into the next track a little bit, even into the audio, I drop the audio down to another line, and then I overlay it a little bit, so now you'll see how much punchier and quicker it is.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nixon: Studio contains north of $100,000 worth of gear
“In this studio, there's probably, I don't know, maybe like a hundred grand worth of gear north, maybe a little north.”
Disclosure
Nickson: Built and sold Instagram communities totaling over 10M followers
“And I've built and then sold now a lot to a lot of communities, specifically on Instagram, because that's just where I've sort of like, almost like I probably spent my most time You know, on the internet, on Instagram, so I built a ton of communities, you know…”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Nickson grew personal and brand accounts by 730K followers in 100 days
“Yeah, I think for my personal, I've gone maybe 400,000 across all all my personal socials in the last hundred days. And then again, like a Luna in the last hundred days You know, 230 K followers. I think metaverse has added another 100,000 or so over the last …”
Disclosure
Roberto Nixon uses Apple Notes as his primary scripting application
“I live by Apple Notes.”
Disclosure
Roberto Nixon records audio separately into OBS for file redundancy
“The reason that I recorded the audio separately in case something gets corrupted, I have two two different files.”
Insight
Nixon: Sound effects in video editing are underrated for audience retention
“Again, this stuff, people underrate it, but it keeps the audience like hooked.”